RB Bragantino vs Coritiba Serie A prediction & result
Final score: RB Bragantino 0-0 Coritiba.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% RB Bragantino, 19% draw, 21% Coritiba — fair odds of 1.67, 5.26 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts RB Bragantino at 60% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — RB Bragantino vs Coritiba
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 34José Andrés HurtadoD
- 4Alix ViniciusD
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 20RodriguinhoM
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 32José HerreraM
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 11FernandoM
- 8Eduardo SashaF
- 14Pedro HenriqueD
- 1CleitonG
- 52Ryan AugustoD
- 2Guzmán RodríguezD
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 6Gabriel GirottoM
- 35Matheus FernandesM
- 15Ignacio SosaM
- 22Gustavo NevesM
- 22Pedro RangelG
- 2TingaD
- 55Jacy MaranhãoD
- 23Tiago CóserD
- 26Bruno MeloD
- 36Vini PaulistaM
- 21Thiago SantosM
- 32Pedro RochaM
- 10JosuéM
- 77Breno LopesM
- 11Lucas RonierF
- 1Pedro MoriscoG
- 3MaiconD
- 6Felipe JonatanD
- 4Rodrigo MoledoD
- 44João Pedro ChermontD
- 7Joaquín LavegaF
- 17Brian OcampoF
- 50Vitor Gonçalves TissiM
- 39GustavoM
Form going into RB Bragantino vs Coritiba
RB Bragantino
- D1-1away to Fluminense17 July 2026
Coritiba
- L1-3Palmeiras22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 36 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RB Bragantino vs Coritiba
- 26 July 2026RB Bragantino 0–0 CoritibaSerie A
- 28 January 2026Coritiba 0–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 3 December 2023RB Bragantino 1–0 CoritibaSerie A
- 6 August 2023Coritiba 0–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 9 October 2022Coritiba 2–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 15 June 2022RB Bragantino 4–2 CoritibaSerie A
Leading scorers: RB Bragantino and Coritiba
RB Bragantino
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.
Coritiba
- Pedro Rocha8 goals1 assists
- Breno Lopes8 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.