CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa First League prediction & result
Final score: CSKA Sofia 5-0 Botev Vratsa.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% CSKA Sofia, 30% draw, 34% Botev Vratsa — fair odds of 2.78, 3.33 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
CSKA Sofia at 36%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 21Fedor LapoukhovG
- 11Mohamed Amine BrahimiM
- 5Jean-Philippe GbaminD
- 14Teodor IvanovD
- 19Andrey YordanovD
- 6Bruno JordãoM
- 94Cătălin ItuM
- 99James Eto'oM
- 94Isaac SoletM
- 30Petko PanayotovM
- 10Joël ZwartsF
- 32Facundo RodríguezD
- 38Léo PereiraM
- 2PastorD
- 34Vasil KaymakanovM
- 9Leandro GodoyF
- 25Dimitar EvtimovG
- 15Aleks TunchevD
- 80Georgi ChorbadzhiyskiM
- 7Max EbongM
- 98Lyubomir VasilevG
- 8Antoan StoyanovM
- 88Lazar BoyanovD
- 55Đorđe JovičićD
- 97Vladislav NaydenovM
- 24Martin SmolenskiM
- 12Iliya YurukovM
- 81Kassim HadjiM
- 10José GallegosM
- 9Daniel GenovM
- 99Preslav BorukovF
- 48Martin DimitrovD
- 79Martin PetkovF
- 17Samuil MechevF
- 23Luboslav StoyanovG
- 2Miroslav TsonevM
Form going into CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
CSKA Sofia
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Maccabi Tel Aviv13 August 2026
- W3-0away to Septemvri Sofia9 August 2026
- W3-0away to Maccabi Tel Aviv6 August 2026
- W2-1Dunav Ruse2 August 2026
- D0-0Qarabag30 July 2026
Botev Vratsa
All competitions we cover
- L0-3Slavia Sofia10 August 2026
- L1-2away to Ludogorets2 August 2026
- L1-2away to CSKA 194825 July 2026
- D1-1Cherno More Varna19 July 2026
What these results say
- CSKA Sofia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for CSKA Sofia had three goals or more.
- Botev Vratsa did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Botev Vratsa conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Botev Vratsa scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 9 | +23 | 34 |
| 13 | Botev Vratsa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
- 4 March 2026CSKA Sofia 1–0 Botev VratsaFirst League
- 22 September 2025Botev Vratsa 1–1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 5 April 2025Botev Vratsa 1–1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- 24 October 2024CSKA Sofia 2–0 Botev VratsaFirst League
- 18 February 2024CSKA Sofia 3–0 Botev VratsaFirst League
Leading scorers: CSKA Sofia and Botev Vratsa
CSKA Sofia
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Jordão20
- I. Pittas10
Botev Vratsa
No player in First League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
CSKA Sofia beat Botev Vratsa 5–0. The model had made a win for CSKA Sofia its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: J. Zwarts 12' for CSKA Sofia, P. Panayotov 38' for CSKA Sofia, T. Ivanov 65' for CSKA Sofia, J. Zwarts 72' for CSKA Sofia, L. Godoy 79' for CSKA Sofia. Sent off: C. Itu (CSKA Sofia) 45+5'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.