Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse First League prediction & result
Final score: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 Dunav Ruse.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Lokomotiv Plovdiv, 24% draw, 38% Dunav Ruse — fair odds of 2.63, 4.17 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Bojan MilosavljevićG
- 2Adrián CovaD
- 4Andrei ChindrişD
- 13Lucas RyanD
- 5Todor PavlovD
- 22Ivaylo IvanovM
- 12Efe AliM
- 3Dalil AliD
- 11Ryan Yang LeijtenM
- 7Sevi IdrizM
- 29Christ LongvilleF
- 99Julien LamyM
- 9Axel VelevF
- 6Miha TrdanM
- 40Petar ZovkoG
- 44Milan PetrovicD
- 16Denis KirashkiD
- 30Aleksandar AleksandrovM
- 10Yoan DzhelepovF
- 33Georgi KitanovG
- 2Mario Ivanov DilchovskiD
- 5Kyriakos AntoniouM
- 39Andre AlvesD
- 22Stojan PredevD
- 44Vladan VidakovićM
- 24Stefan GavrilovM
- 14Radoslav ApostolovM
- 10Kristiyan BoychevM
- 11Denislav MinchevF
- 9Alexander Valino NavasalF
- 51Ilker BudinovD
- 18Ibrahim KeitaF
- 6Stanislav YovkovD
- 69Plamen PepelyashevG
- 19Stefan StefanovM
- 77Aleksandar SimeonovF
Form going into Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Levski Sofia7 August 2026
- L0-1away to Spartak Varna3 August 2026
- W2-1Septemvri Sofia26 July 2026
- L0-1away to Ludogorets18 July 2026
Dunav Ruse
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Arda Kardzhali8 August 2026
- L1-2away to CSKA Sofia2 August 2026
- L0-2Ludogorets27 July 2026
- L1-2away to Levski Sofia17 July 2026
What these results say
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dunav Ruse did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Dunav Ruse conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse
- 28 October 2025Dunav Ruse 1–2 Lokomotiv PlovdivCup
- 9 December 2019Dunav Ruse 0–3 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
- 19 August 2019Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
- 19 April 2019Dunav Ruse 2–0 Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League
- 29 March 2019Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Dunav RuseFirst League
Leading scorers: Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
No player in First League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Dunav Ruse
GoalsAssists
- I. Budinov11
- Andre Alves10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dunav Ruse won 2–1 at Lokomotiv Plovdiv. The goals: C. Longville 4' for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, A. Valino (penalty) 71' for Dunav Ruse, K. Boychev 77' for Dunav Ruse.