Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al Shamal 0-4 Al-Duhail SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Al Shamal, 26% draw, 39% Al-Duhail SC — fair odds of 2.86, 3.85 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Al-Duhail SC at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC
Line-ups
- 95B. SeckG
- 6Musab KhoderD
- 37Ahmed SuhailD
- 24J. MurilloD
- 2Moufak AwadD
- 28N. BenaïssaM
- 70Tiago SilvaM
- 10Álex ColladoM
- 5M. Ben RomdhaneM
- 17Abdullah AbdulsalamM
- 22W. SaïdF
- 3Abdelkarim HassanD
- 67Saoud Al KhaterG
- 78Ahmad Al SaeedF
- 14Omar AliF
- 15Hussain BahzadD
- 16F. BaisD
- 1Ali MohammedG
- 4Pablo MaríD
- 27Ahmed SayyarM
- 1Salah ZakariaG
- 22I. BambaD
- 5Bassam Al RawiD
- 21J. CastellettoD
- 18Sultan Al BraikD
- 11Tahsin JamshidM
- 3Lucas TutaM
- 24B. SoumaréM
- 7S. YansanéM
- 6M. VerrattiF
- 9K. PiątekF
- 27Abdalla Mugib GamerD
- 8Mubarak Shanan HamzaF
- 37Z. El JaouniD
- 30A. DoumbouyaD
- 26Fahad BakerG
- 19Almoez AliF
- 13Jasim SarourG
Form going into Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC
Al Shamal
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Al Wakrah10 September 2026
- W4-2Al Shahaniya4 September 2026
Al-Duhail SC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Al Shahaniya12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Al-Rayyan SC5 September 2026
- D1-1Al-Arabi SC29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Shamal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 12 |
| 2 | Al-Duhail SC | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC
- 17 March 2026Al Shamal 1–3 Al-Duhail SCStars League
- 25 October 2025Al-Duhail SC 2–0 Al ShamalStars League
- 5 April 2025Al-Duhail SC 0–4 Al ShamalStars League
- 1 November 2024Al Shamal 2–6 Al-Duhail SCStars League
- 6 May 2024Al-Duhail SC 3–1 Al ShamalEmir Cup
- 15 March 2024Al-Duhail SC 3–1 Al ShamalStars League
Leading scorers: Al Shamal and Al-Duhail SC
Al Shamal
GoalsAssists
- A. Zouhzouh61
Al-Duhail SC
GoalsAssists
- K. Piątek33
- Almoez Ali30
- B. Soumaré30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Duhail SC won 4–0 at Al Shamal. The model had made a win for Al-Duhail SC its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Krzysztof Piątek 14' for Al-Duhail SC, Sekou Oumar Yansané 67' for Al-Duhail SC, Almoez Ali 72' for Al-Duhail SC, Mubarak Shanan Hamza 90' for Al-Duhail SC.
How the call on Al Shamal v Al-Duhail SC has moved
First published on 24 Sep at 35% / 28% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 35% / 26% / 39%: the biggest move is Al-Duhail SC's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Al Shamal win35%=
- Draw26%▼ −2
- Al-Duhail SC win39%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.