8 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

MC Oran vs ES Setif Ligue 1 prediction & result

Full time0 – 0

Final score: MC Oran 0-0 ES Setif.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% MC Oran, 27% draw, 28% ES Setif — fair odds of 2.22, 3.70 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts MC Oran at 45% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

MC Oran6%Draw92%ES Setif2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

I. Saadi
4'
17'
R. Boumechra
23'
L. Tabti
53'
M. Belkhir
63'
🔁Z. Benchaaout: R. Benayad
🔁E. Matoutiout: Y. Aliane
69'
🔁B. Traoreout: M. Abdelkader
69'
🔁A. Bourdimout: C. Aoudjane
69'
79'
🔁M. Hamekout: I. Bouchagoura
🔁I. Saadiout: A. Ghenam
83'
🔁J. Aguiebout: O. Coumbassa
84'
85'
H. Al Hourani
88'
🔁M. Salifuout: S. Bouteldja
88'
🔁M. Belkhirout: A. Naim

Form going into MC Oran vs ES Setif

MC Oran

  • W1-0away to ASO Chlef18 September 2026
  • W2-0Témouchent11 September 2026

ES Setif

  • W5-1CS Constantine19 September 2026
  • L0-1away to CR Belouizdad11 September 2026
  • L0-1Ben Aknoun3 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2MC Oran431040+410
10ES Setif411253+24

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: MC Oran vs ES Setif

  • 17 April 2026ES Setif 3–0 MC OranLigue 1
  • 20 November 2025MC Oran 0–0 ES SetifLigue 1
  • 18 April 2025ES Setif 1–0 MC OranLigue 1
  • 7 November 2024MC Oran 1–0 ES SetifLigue 1
  • 17 May 2024MC Oran 4–1 ES SetifLigue 1
  • 29 December 2023ES Setif 1–0 MC OranLigue 1
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.