Nassaji Mazandaran vs ZOB Ahan Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Nassaji Mazandaran 1-1 ZOB Ahan.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Nassaji Mazandaran, 30% draw, 27% ZOB Ahan — fair odds of 2.33, 3.33 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Persian Gulf Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Nassaji Mazandaran at 43% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Nassaji Mazandaran vs ZOB Ahan
Nassaji Mazandaran
- D1-1away to Mes Shahr-e Babak13 September 2026
- W1-0Kheybar Khorramabad7 September 2026
- W1-0away to Malavan2 September 2026
- L0-2Shams Azar Qazvin28 August 2026
ZOB Ahan
- L0-2away to Persepolis FC7 September 2026
- W1-0Paykan2 September 2026
- D0-0away to Fajr Sepasi29 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 4 matches for Nassaji Mazandaran had two goals or fewer.
- Nassaji Mazandaran scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | ZOB Ahan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nassaji Mazandaran vs ZOB Ahan
- 15 May 2025Nassaji Mazandaran 0–3 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 2 January 2025ZOB Ahan 0–0 Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League
- 1 May 2024ZOB Ahan 0–2 Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League
- 12 November 2023Nassaji Mazandaran 1–2 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 13 March 2023ZOB Ahan 1–0 Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League
- 6 October 2022Nassaji Mazandaran 0–0 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.