8 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

MB Rouisset vs USM Alger Ligue 1 prediction & result

Full time1 – 0

Final score: MB Rouisset 1-0 USM Alger.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% MB Rouisset, 29% draw, 35% USM Alger — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts MB Rouisset at 36% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

MB Rouisset96%Draw4%USM Alger0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. El Orfi (pen)
59'
B. Hend
60'
62'
🔁D. Kamagateout: M. A. Gherbi
62'
🔁D. Bensaadallahout: S. E. Bouziani
🔁A. K. Amqranout: M. Sy
67'
🔁B. Hendout: M. Djahdou
67'
69'
Z. Draoui
H. Salem
72'
74'
🔁M. Bouderbalaout: H. Ghacha
75'
🔁Z. Draouiout: F. Boulaya
🔁A. El Orfiout: M. Midoune
79'
🔁N. Ben Kheiraout: H. Fatawu
79'
84'
84'
🔁M. Tliliout: R. Hamroune
88'
M. Djahdou
89'

Form going into MB Rouisset vs USM Alger

MB Rouisset

  • L0-2away to MC Alger18 September 2026
  • W2-0Olympique Akbou12 September 2026
  • L0-1away to JS Kabylie4 September 2026

USM Alger

  • W3-2away to Olympique Akbou19 September 2026
  • W2-0JS El Biar10 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Khenchela4 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8MB Rouisset42023306
3USM Alger531163+310

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: MB Rouisset vs USM Alger

  • 30 May 2026MB Rouisset 1–0 USM AlgerLigue 1
  • 22 December 2025USM Alger 2–0 MB RouissetLigue 1
  • 8 March 2024USM Alger 8–0 MB RouissetCoupe Nationale
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.