Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Qatar SC 0-3 Al-Rayyan SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 22% Qatar SC, 25% draw, 53% Al-Rayyan SC — fair odds of 4.55, 4.00 and 1.89.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Qatar Stars League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Rayyan SC at 53%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 17A. N. MahmoudG
- 21Abdullah MarafeeD
- 40S. F. DioufD
- 24N. MasonD
- 15K. Al-ObaidlyD
- 5A. GunnarssonM
- 12Ibrahim MasoudM
- 6Pau PrimM
- 7F. SelemaniM
- 11Y. BoliF
- 9João PedroF
- 23Sebastián SoriaF
- 33Adnan SalehG
- 74S. Al AbbasiG
- 28A. AddaiF
- 66A. Q. Ayman Mohamed A.D
- 2Nasir BakshD
- 14Said BrahmiF
- 44A. Hanfy
- 16Abdulrahman Mohsin AliM
- 57Mahmud AbunadaG
- 8Jassem GaberD
- 13André AmaroD
- 5David GarcíaD
- 12Ahmed Al MinhaliD
- 4J. De SartM
- 11Gabriel PereiraM
- 40GregoreM
- 25OtávioM
- 10Róger GuedesM
- 30Ahmed Alaa EldinF
- 22Ahmed Al GanehiF
- 3Hazem ShehataD
- 21Ibrahim Mohammed Al-HassanM
- 23S. BeldiG
- 35Sami MazenG
- 2Abdalla YousifD
- 19Ahmed Al RawiF
- 6Abdulaziz HatemM
- 9A. MitrovićF
Form going into Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar SC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Al-Arabi SC12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Al Ahli Doha3 September 2026
Al-Rayyan SC
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Al Ahli Doha11 September 2026
- D1-1Al-Duhail SC5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Qatar SC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 6 |
| 1 | Al-Rayyan SC | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC
- 20 September 2026Al-Rayyan SC 2–2 Qatar SCQSL Cup
- 6 February 2026Qatar SC 3–3 Al-Rayyan SCStars League
- 13 September 2025Al-Rayyan SC 1–1 Qatar SCStars League
- 3 September 2025Al-Rayyan SC 4–1 Qatar SCQSL Cup
- 18 April 2025Al-Rayyan SC 2–0 Qatar SCStars League
- 7 December 2024Qatar SC 1–2 Al-Rayyan SCStars League
Leading scorers: Qatar SC and Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar SC
GoalsAssists
- João Pedro41
Al-Rayyan SC
GoalsAssists
- Róger Guedes62
- Ahmed Alaa Eldin50
- Gabriel Pereira33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Rayyan SC won 3–0 at Qatar SC. The model had made a win for Al-Rayyan SC its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Róger Guedes 19' for Al-Rayyan SC, Gabriel Pereira 22' for Al-Rayyan SC, Gabriel Pereira 54' for Al-Rayyan SC. On expected goals it finished 1.82–1.11.
How the call on Qatar SC v Al-Rayyan SC has moved
First published on 24 Sep at 25% / 27% / 48% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 22% / 25% / 53%: the biggest move is Al-Rayyan SC's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Qatar SC win22%▼ −3
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Al-Rayyan SC win53%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.