Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al Ahli Doha 5-0 Al-Sailiya.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Al Ahli Doha, 24% draw, 29% Al-Sailiya — fair odds of 2.13, 4.17 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Qatar Stars League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al Ahli Doha at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Mohamed LinglizG
- 41Ahmed ReyedD
- 8Talal Al ShilaD
- 16R. TihiD
- 88A. AmraouiD
- 33D. FettouhiM
- 77Ismaeel MohammadM
- 27B. BourigeaudM
- 7J. DraxlerM
- 23N. SlitiM
- 10Erik ExpósitoF
- 49Z. SassiD
- 75Nasser Adil BabikerD
- 6Luiz CearáM
- 15Mohammed Abdulla Al-IshaqM
- 20Hamad MansourM
- 5W. Troost-EkongD
- 53Saleh Ahmed QassemG
- 18Jassem MohammedD
- 70Younis AbdelrahmanF
- 1B. BurkeG
- 6Moataz BostamiD
- 4Majed MohammedD
- 15M. NaniD
- 2Abdulla Mahmoud MahmoudD
- 25R. DanzabeM
- 8Ahmed DoozandehM
- 9Ali OlwanM
- 5Abdulrahman MohamedM
- 10M. TaabouniM
- 21A. El GhaziF
- 77Mouz Gadelseed AbdallaD
- 19Abdulaziz Al BakriF
- 71Mus'ab Al BattatD
- 31M. Al BustamiG
- 20Y. BelhandaM
- 55K. van der KaapD
- 22Andri SyahputraM
- 99Salem Al-SufianiD
- 50Youssef SayedG
Form going into Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya
Al Ahli Doha
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Al-Rayyan SC11 September 2026
- W1-0Qatar SC3 September 2026
Al-Sailiya
All competitions we cover
- L3-6Al Sadd10 September 2026
- L0-2Al-Arabi SC3 September 2026
- L2-3away to Al Shahaniya29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al Ahli Doha | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 33 | -24 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya
- 3 April 2026Al Ahli Doha 2–2 Al-SailiyaStars League
- 19 January 2026Al-Sailiya 2–1 Al Ahli DohaQSL Cup
- 1 November 2025Al-Sailiya 1–2 Al Ahli DohaStars League
- 29 April 2023Al Ahli Doha 0–4 Al-SailiyaStars League
- 12 January 2023Al-Sailiya 1–2 Al Ahli DohaStars League
Leading scorers: Al Ahli Doha and Al-Sailiya
Al Ahli Doha
GoalsAssists
- N. Sliti32
- Erik Expósito31
Al-Sailiya
No player in Stars League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Ahli Doha beat Al-Sailiya 5–0. The model had made a win for Al Ahli Doha its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Naïm Sliti 16' for Al Ahli Doha, Julian Draxler 34' for Al Ahli Doha, Naïm Sliti 39' for Al Ahli Doha, Benjamin Bourigeaud 48' for Al Ahli Doha, Majed Mohammed (own goal) 83' for Al Ahli Doha. On expected goals it finished 1.57–0.71.
How the call on Al Ahli Doha v Al-Sailiya has moved
First published on 24 Sep at 44% / 26% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 47% / 24% / 29%: the biggest move is Al Ahli Doha's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Al Ahli Doha win47%▲ +3
- Draw24%▼ −2
- Al-Sailiya win29%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.