Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Sailiya 3-6 Al Sadd.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Al-Sailiya, 27% draw, 44% Al Sadd — fair odds of 3.45, 3.70 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Sadd at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 9 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd
Line-ups
- 1B. BurkeG
- 2Abdulla Mahmoud MahmoudD
- 55K. van der KaapD
- 15M. NaniD
- 4Majed MohammedD
- 25R. DanzabeM
- 8Ahmed DoozandehM
- 9Ali OlwanM
- 20Y. BelhandaM
- 21A. El GhaziM
- 19Abdulaziz Al BakriF
- 11Hadi Ali TabasidehF
- 7Mohab Mohammed EissaM
- 77Mouz Gadelseed AbdallaD
- 6M. Al BustamiM
- 31M. Al BustamiG
- 17M. NormannM
- 18Awab HussainD
- 14A. MitwaliD
- 5Abdulrahman MohamedM
- 1Saad Al SheebG
- 2Pedro MiguelD
- 5Tarek SalmanD
- 26A. RomagnoliD
- 6Paulo OtávioD
- 80A. SoriaM
- 33ClaudinhoM
- 23Hashim AliM
- 9Roberto FirminoM
- 30Akram AfifM
- 17Mohamed Al ManaiF
- 12Y. AbdurisagF
- 10Hassan Al HaydosF
- 13Abdullah Al YazidiF
- 31Yousef Abdulla BaliadehG
- 22Meshaal BarshamG
- 3Y. El HannachD
- 7Mohammed WaadM
- 16Boualem KhoukhiD
- 14Mostafa MeshaalM
Form going into Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd
Al-Sailiya
Stars League
- L0-2Al-Arabi SC3 September 2026
Al Sadd
Stars League
- W4-1Al-Gharafa5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 1 |
| 2 | Al Sadd | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Sailiya and Al Sadd
Al-Sailiya
No player in Stars League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Al Sadd
GoalsAssists
- Akram Afif64
- Roberto Firmino64
- Y. Abdurisag32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Sadd won 6–3 at Al-Sailiya. The model had made a win for Al Sadd its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Akram Afif 19' for Al Sadd, Ali Olwan 35' for Al-Sailiya, Hashim Ali 45+3' for Al Sadd, Roberto Firmino (penalty) 50' for Al Sadd, Ahmed Doozandeh 58' for Al-Sailiya, Roberto Firmino 62' for Al Sadd, Akram Afif 75' for Al Sadd, Mostafa Mashaal 90+5' for Al Sadd, Ali Olwan 90+10' for Al-Sailiya.
How the call on Al-Sailiya v Al Sadd has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 33% / 27% / 40% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 29% / 27% / 44%: the biggest move is Al-Sailiya's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Al-Sailiya win29%▼ −4
- Draw27%=
- Al Sadd win44%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.