Panathinaikos vs Kifisia Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Panathinaikos 3-1 Kifisia.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Panathinaikos, 26% draw, 25% Kifisia — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Panathinaikos at 49% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Panathinaikos vs Kifisia
Line-ups
- 1Iñaki PeñaG
- 2D. CalabriaD
- 6S. de VrijD
- 55R. van DrongelenD
- 77G. KiriakopoulosD
- 22E. CamaraM
- 42K. KangwaM
- 20V. TabordaM
- 99L. GarcíaM
- 10Santino AndinoM
- 7A. TettehF
- 12L. ChavesG
- 44P. BiniarisM
- 8Adriano JagušićM
- 3Georgios Marios KatrisD
- 18S. KontourisM
- 70K. KotsarisG
- 30G. KyriopoulosF
- 26I. LouzaM
- 21A. OunahiM
- 99M. RamírezG
- 48Tiago MansoD
- 33Hugo SousaD
- 34C. JoliboisD
- 23L. AbandaD
- 10Gerson SousaM
- 31I. KousoulosM
- 17K. RoukounakisM
- 7J. AntonisseM
- 28Á. SagalF
- 6Jorge PomboF
- 15A. AnagnostopoulosG
- 2K. ApostolakisM
- 72A. ChristópoulosF
- 4G. DoiranlisM
- 19I. JagneM
- 21Nektarios KaloskamisD
- 11Jordi MboulaF
- 20M. PatirasM
- 26K. PolykratisD
Form going into Panathinaikos vs Kifisia
Panathinaikos
- W3-1PAOK6 September 2026
- W2-0away to Levadiakos31 August 2026
Kifisia
- L0-2away to OFI6 September 2026
- D1-1AEK Athens FC30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 12 | Kifisia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Panathinaikos vs Kifisia
- 1 February 2026Panathinaikos 3–0 KifisiaSuper League 1
- 3 December 2025Panathinaikos 1–0 KifisiaCup
- 14 September 2025Kifisia 3–2 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 25 February 2024Panathinaikos 1–1 KifisiaSuper League 1
- 12 November 2023Kifisia 0–1 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Panathinaikos and Kifisia
Panathinaikos
- V. Taborda3 goals1 assists
- A. Tetteh2 goals
- K. Kangwa1 goals1 assists
Kifisia
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.