Panathinaikos vs Kifisia Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Panathinaikos 3-1 Kifisia.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Panathinaikos, 26% draw, 25% Kifisia — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Greek Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Panathinaikos at 49% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Panathinaikos vs Kifisia
Line-ups
- 1Iñaki PeñaG
- 2D. CalabriaD
- 6S. de VrijD
- 55R. van DrongelenD
- 77G. KiriakopoulosD
- 22E. CamaraM
- 42K. KangwaM
- 20V. TabordaM
- 99L. GarcíaM
- 10Santino AndinoM
- 7A. TettehF
- 12L. ChavesG
- 44P. BiniarisM
- 8Adriano JagušićM
- 3Georgios Marios KatrisD
- 18S. KontourisM
- 70K. KotsarisG
- 30G. KyriopoulosF
- 26I. LouzaM
- 21A. OunahiM
- 99M. RamírezG
- 48Tiago MansoD
- 33Hugo SousaD
- 34C. JoliboisD
- 23L. AbandaD
- 10Gerson SousaM
- 31I. KousoulosM
- 17K. RoukounakisM
- 7J. AntonisseM
- 28Á. SagalF
- 6Jorge PomboF
- 15A. AnagnostopoulosG
- 2K. ApostolakisM
- 72A. ChristópoulosF
- 4G. DoiranlisM
- 19I. JagneM
- 21Nektarios KaloskamisD
- 11Jordi MboulaF
- 20M. PatirasM
- 26K. PolykratisD
Form going into Panathinaikos vs Kifisia
Panathinaikos
All competitions we cover
- W3-1PAOK6 September 2026
- W2-0away to Levadiakos31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Hradec Králové27 August 2026
- D2-2Hradec Králové20 August 2026
- W2-1away to CSKA 194811 August 2026
Kifisia
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to OFI6 September 2026
- D1-1AEK Athens FC30 August 2026
What these results say
- Panathinaikos went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | +14 | 21 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Panathinaikos vs Kifisia
- 1 February 2026Panathinaikos 3–0 KifisiaSuper League 1
- 3 December 2025Panathinaikos 1–0 KifisiaCup
- 14 September 2025Kifisia 3–2 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 25 February 2024Panathinaikos 1–1 KifisiaSuper League 1
- 12 November 2023Kifisia 0–1 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Panathinaikos and Kifisia
Panathinaikos
GoalsAssists
- A. Tetteh41
- V. Taborda31
- C. Dessers30
Kifisia
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Pombo41
- Á. Sagal21
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Panathinaikos beat Kifisia 3–1. The model had made a win for Panathinaikos its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Kings Kangwa 53' for Panathinaikos, dimitrios theodoridis 74' for Kifisia, Vicente Taborda (penalty) 81' for Panathinaikos, Elmin Rastoder 90+1' for Panathinaikos. Sent off: Clément Jolibois (Kifisia) 63'.
How the call on Panathinaikos v Kifisia has moved
First published on 3 Sep at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 49% / 26% / 25%: the biggest move is Panathinaikos's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Panathinaikos win49%▲ +9
- Draw26%▼ −3
- Kifisia win25%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.