Al-Gharafa vs Lusail City Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Gharafa 0-0 Lusail City.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Al-Gharafa, 29% draw, 36% Lusail City — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lusail City at 36% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Al-Gharafa vs Lusail City
Al-Gharafa
- L1-4away to Al Sadd5 September 2026
- L1-3Al Shamal27 August 2026
- W2-1Al Shahaniya21 August 2026
Lusail City
- W4-0Al Wakrah4 September 2026
- D3-3away to Al Ahli Doha28 August 2026
- L0-1away to Al-Rayyan SC20 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al-Gharafa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 6 | Lusail City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Gharafa and Lusail City
Al-Gharafa
- F. Magri2 goals
- F. Díaz1 goals1 assists
Lusail City
- F. Zavoshi2 goals
- H. Firouzi1 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.