Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Jazira 1-1 Al Nasr.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Al-Jazira, 28% draw, 23% Al Nasr — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All UAE Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Jazira at 49% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr
Line-ups
- 1E. DestanoğluG
- 2IgorD
- 4Willyan RochaD
- 28R. TagirD
- 16Marcus MeloniD
- 80BrunoM
- 8M. CoulibalyM
- 23K. AsllaniM
- 77MilsonM
- 10MalcomF
- 94TaliscaF
- 15M. RabiiD
- 39N. MujkićD
- 5Khalifa Al HammadiD
- 25J. GeusensM
- 99Vinicius MelloF
- 6Mohammed Al AttasD
- 74S. MalkoçoğluM
- 57Zayed FadaaqG
- 30A. DennisM
- 12Ahmed ShambihG
- 24Zayed SultanD
- 15Abdoulaye SanogoD
- 4GláuberD
- 55D. PetrovićD
- 17Wesley DelgadoM
- 8M. MarinM
- 57I. FaizM
- 10M. GhaediM
- 70A. HrustićF
- 9C. BediaF
- 7K. AgudeloM
- 21Abdulla IdreesD
- 2Salem SultanD
- 5Mohammad AbdulbasitM
- 77N. ChadliF
- 37S. SalemG
- 30João MoreiraD
- 38Moussa NdiayeM
- 6Hussain MahdiM
Form going into Al-Jazira vs Al Nasr
Al-Jazira
Pro League
- W3-1away to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai5 September 2026
- W3-0Ajman29 August 2026
- W2-0away to Sharjah FC23 August 2026
Al Nasr
Pro League
- L1-2Ajman6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Al Ain29 August 2026
- W1-0Al Wahda FC21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Jazira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 14 |
| 8 | Al Nasr | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Jazira and Al Nasr
Al-Jazira
GoalsAssists
- Bruno21
- Malcom21
Al Nasr
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Jazira and Al Nasr drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Jazira at 49% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Bruno De Oliveira 10' for Al-Jazira, Mehdi Ghayedi 61' for Al Nasr.
How the call on Al-Jazira v Al Nasr has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 30% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 49% / 28% / 23%: the biggest move is Al-Jazira's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- Al-Jazira win49%▲ +8
- Draw28%▼ −2
- Al Nasr win23%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.