Al-Sailiya vs Al-Arabi SC Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Sailiya 0-2 Al-Arabi SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Al-Sailiya, 30% draw, 30% Al-Arabi SC — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Sailiya at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Sailiya vs Al-Arabi SC
Line-ups
- 1B. BurkeG
- 2Abdulla Mahmoud MahmoudD
- 55K. van der KaapD
- 15M. NaniD
- 14Abdelaziz MitwaliD
- 25R. DanzabeM
- 8Ahmed DoozandehM
- 10M. TaabouniM
- 20Y. BelhandaM
- 9Ali OlwanM
- 11Hadi Ali TabasidehF
- 4Majed MohammedD
- 19Abdulaziz Al BakriF
- 6Moataz BostamiM
- 31Motasem Al BustamiG
- 17M. NormannM
- 7Mohab Mohammed EissaM
- 21A. El GhaziF
- 18Awab HussainD
- 5Abdulrahman MohamedM
- 31Jasem Al HailG
- 2Marwan HassanD
- 19Gueye LayeD
- 25A. PérezD
- 3Mohammed Al NaimiD
- 10RodriM
- 8Ahmed FathiM
- 17J. VeretoutM
- 80I. LihadjiM
- 7Pablo SarabiaF
- 90Y. SnanaF
- 6O. TannaneM
- 30Salem Al HajriM
- 99João PedroM
- 14M. OlungaF
- 98J. MonegalM
- 20A. MahajnaD
- 11Lotfi MadjerF
- 9Mohamed GoudaF
- 33Q. El HarounG
Form going into Al-Sailiya vs Al-Arabi SC
Al-Sailiya
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Al Shahaniya29 August 2026
Al-Arabi SC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Al-Duhail SC29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 1 |
| 4 | Al-Arabi SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Sailiya and Al-Arabi SC
Al-Sailiya
No player in Stars League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Al-Arabi SC
GoalsAssists
- Pablo Sarabia61
- O. Tannane33
- M. Olunga32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Arabi SC won 2–0 at Al-Sailiya. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Sailiya at 40% and given a win for Al-Arabi SC 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Youssef snana 45' for Al-Arabi SC, Issa Laye 77' for Al-Arabi SC.