3 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC Stars League prediction & result

Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Al Ahli Doha 1-0 Qatar SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Al Ahli Doha, 29% draw, 28% Qatar SC — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Al Ahli Doha at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al Ahli Doha98%Draw2%Qatar SC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
Bartolomé Márquez López
11'
•Eisa Palangi
12'
Eisa Palangi
17'
🔁Bruno Tabataout: Akwasi Addai
18'
🔁Mohamed Mushrinnout: Yaseen Lafrid
45'
Joao Pedro
🔁Zinedine Sassiout: Ayoub Amraoui
45'
56'
🔁Akwasi Addaiout: Nasir Baksh
•Ismaeel Mohammad
66'
66'
🔁Ali Saoudiout: Anas Hanafy
🔁Ismaeel Mohammadout: Younis Hussein Abdelrahman
69'
⚽Younis Hussein Abdelrahman
82'
🔁Erik Expósitoout: Mohammed Abdulla Al-Ishaq
90+3'
Mohammed Abdulla Al-Ishaq
90+5'

Match stats — Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC

57%Possession43%
28Shots9
12On target2
9Corners3

Line-ups

Al Ahli Doha 4-4-2
  • 13Mohamed LinglizG
  • 41Ahmed ReyedD
  • 49Z. SassiD
  • 16R. TihiD
  • 12Ghanem Al MinhaliD
  • 77Ismaeel MohammadM
  • 27B. BourigeaudM
  • 33D. FettouhiM
  • 7J. DraxlerM
  • 10Erik ExpósitoF
  • 14M. VlapF
Substitutes
  • 5W. Troost-EkongD
  • 8Talal Al ShilaM
  • 11Suhaib GannanF
  • 20Hamad MansourM
  • 70Younis AbdelrahmanF
  • 6Luiz CearáM
  • 15Mohammed Abdulla Al-IshaqM
  • 88A. AmraouiD
  • 25Hugo Hernandez MoyaG
Coach: Borja Jiménez
Qatar SC 4-3-3
  • 17A. N. MahmoudG
  • 21Abdullah MarafeeD
  • 40S. F. DioufD
  • 4A. SaoudiD
  • 20Eisa PalangiD
  • 6Pau PrimM
  • 24N. MasonM
  • 18Mohamed MushrinnM
  • 10TabataF
  • 9João PedroF
  • 7F. SelemaniF
Substitutes
  • 23Sebastián SoriaF
  • 15K. Al-ObaidlyM
  • 28A. AddaiF
  • 74S. Al AbbasiG
  • 33Adnan SalehG
  • 66A. Q. Ayman Mohamed A.D
  • 2Nasir BakshD
  • 14Said BrahmiF
  • 44Anas Elfadil Ahmed
Coach: Tintín Márquez

Stars League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Al Ahli Doha72231214-28
11Qatar SC7133916-76

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Al Ahli Doha and Qatar SC

Al Ahli Doha

GoalsAssists

  • N. Sliti32
  • J. Draxler31

Qatar SC

GoalsAssists

  • João Pedro31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Al Ahli Doha beat Qatar SC 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Al Ahli Doha at 43%. The goal: Younis Hussein Abdelrahman 82' for Al Ahli Doha. Sent off: Eisa Palangi (Qatar SC) 12'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.