Al Shamal vs Al Shahaniya Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al Shamal 4-2 Al Shahaniya.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Al Shamal, 30% draw, 30% Al Shahaniya — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Shamal at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Shamal vs Al Shahaniya
Line-ups
- 95B. SeckG
- 2Moufak AwadD
- 6Musab KhederD
- 4Pablo MaríD
- 3Abdelkarim HassanD
- 28N. BenaïssaM
- 70Tiago SilvaM
- 10Álex ColladoM
- 8A. S. Al-MughanniM
- 22W. SaïdM
- 11B. BounedjahF
- 18Adel Bader Al AhmadM
- 45Abdullah El RadyG
- 27Ahmed SayyarM
- 23Michel TermaniniD
- 47Fahad WaadD
- 78Ahmad Al SaeedF
- 17Abdullah AbdulsalamM
- 14Omar AliF
- 15H. BahzadD
- 99Shehab EllethyG
- 2A. MohamedD
- 22S. van BeekD
- 5M. MuniesaD
- 19Abdulla Al SulaitiD
- 21Mohamed SuragM
- 6Álvaro SanzM
- 27I. DialloM
- 11Jawad El JemiliM
- 9A. TraoréF
- 10F. AntonucciF
- 20Ali QadryM
- 88Moameen MutasemM
- 8A. MeherziM
- 32Khalid MuftahD
- 17Abdulrahman Fahmi MoustafaF
- 7A. MussedF
- 14Salah Alawi Al YahriM
- 18A. Al SulimaneM
- 23M. A. AchourG
Form going into Al Shamal vs Al Shahaniya
Al Shamal
No earlier matches on record this season.
Al Shahaniya
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Al-Sailiya29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Shamal | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Al Shahaniya | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Shamal and Al Shahaniya
Al Shamal
GoalsAssists
- B. Bounedjah30
Al Shahaniya
GoalsAssists
- F. Antonucci32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al Shamal beat Al Shahaniya 4–2. The model had made a win for Al Shamal its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Abdelkarim Hassan 25' for Al Shamal, Francesco Antonucci (penalty) 45+4' for Al Shahaniya, Abdoulaye Traore 59' for Al Shahaniya, Mowafak Awad 80' for Al Shamal, Mowafak Awad 90' for Al Shamal, Baghdad Bounedjah 90+10' for Al Shamal. Sent off: Sven van Beek (Al Shahaniya) 72'.