3 September 2026, 16:30 UTC

NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat Pro League prediction & result

King Khalid Sports City, Tabuk
Full time3 – 0

Final score: NEOM 3-0 Al Khaleej Saihat.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% NEOM, 29% draw, 27% Al Khaleej Saihat — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts NEOM at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

NEOM99%Draw1%Al Khaleej Saihat0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
14'
35'
Boubakar Kouyaté
⚽A. Lacazetteassist: H. Camara
37'
⚽M. Al Saadassist: A. Kone
39'
⚽A. Koneassist: K. Al Absi
45'
🔁M. Al Buraykout: A. Hejji
46'
46'
🔁M. Kanabahout: A. Fulgini
62'
🔁M. Barrowout: S. Al Amri
🔁A. Al Oyayariout: K. Al Dawsari
63'
71'
🔁N. Al Saadiout: H. Al Eisa
72'
🔁R. Al Shanqitiout: S. Al Hamsal
81'
🔁M. Crespoout: M. Hamzi
🔁H. Camaraout: M. Abu Taha
82'
🔁I. Hawsawiout: F. Al Ghamdi
82'
Khalil Al-Absi
86'
🔁K. Al Absiout: A. Al Anzi
88'
90'
Angelo Fulgini

Match stats — NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat

53%Possession47%
14Shots8
5On target0
4Corners2
1.33xG0.22

Goals against chances

NEOM3 from 1.33 xGmore than the chances were worth
Al Khaleej Saihat0 from 0.22 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

NEOM 4-4-2
  • 1M. BulkaG
  • 2M. Al BuraykD
  • 5M. SarrD
  • 44N. ZezeD
  • 27I. HawsawiD
  • 77M. Al SaadM
  • 15A. Al OyayariM
  • 72A. KoneM
  • 14K. Al AbsiM
  • 91A. LacazetteF
  • 70H. CamaraF
Substitutes
  • 81L. MaximianoG
  • 19M. Abu TahaD
  • 75K. Al RammahD
  • 55M. Al DossaryD
  • 4K. Al DawsariD
  • 8F. Al GhamdiM
  • 23V. VadaM
  • 18A. Hejji
  • 22A. Al AnziF
Coach: Christophe Galtier
Al Khaleej Saihat 4-2-3-1
  • 49A. MorisG
  • 29R. Al ShanqitiD
  • 4K. KouyateD
  • 3M. Al KhabraniD
  • 5P. RebochoD
  • 12M. KanabahM
  • 8O. MascarellM
  • 18N. Al SaadiM
  • 19M. CrespoM
  • 99M. BarrowM
  • 90T. Al KhaibriF
Substitutes
  • 96M. Al HaidariG
  • 39S. Al HamsalD
  • 17A. Al HafithD
  • 14A. Al ShaafiD
  • 10A. FulginiM
  • 16B. M. MunshiM
  • 15M. HamziF
  • 28H. Al EisaF
  • 11S. Al AmriF
Coach: Jose Gomes

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6NEOM11614169+719
9Al Khaleej Saihat123631419-515

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: NEOM and Al Khaleej Saihat

NEOM

GoalsAssists

  • A. Lacazette62
  • A. Koné41

Al Khaleej Saihat

GoalsAssists

  • J. King50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

NEOM beat Al Khaleej Saihat 3–0. The model had made a win for NEOM its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Lacazette 37' for NEOM, M. Al Saad 39' for NEOM, A. Kone 45' for NEOM. On expected goals it finished 1.33–0.22.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.