Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Fayha 2-2 Al Kholood.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Al-Fayha, 30% draw, 35% Al Kholood — fair odds of 2.86, 3.33 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Fayha at 35% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 52O. MosqueraG
- 22M. Al BaqawiD
- 15P. OliveiraD
- 2M. Al RashidiD
- 24A. BamsaudD
- 30Alfa SemedoM
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 6A. Al HussainM
- 7N. Al HarthiF
- 17LazaroF
- 10F. SakalaF
- 1A. Al DuqaylG
- 21Z. Al SahafiD
- 47M. Al DowaishD
- 14M. Al BesheM
- 43F. AlhubayshiM
- 23Jason RemeseiroF
- 9M. Al AbdulmanamF
- 77R. Enad
- 35S. GanvoulaF
- 1A. M. Yousef H.G
- 15R. SolanD
- 5E. UtkusD
- 25M. CamaraD
- 38S. PinasD
- 10I. KortajarenaM
- 8S. CisseM
- 6J. BuckleyM
- 46A. Al Aliwa
- 22J. DominguesF
- 11C. da CostaF
- 48M. Al YahyaG
- 23Y. MadaniD
- 7S. Al ShehriD
- 47A. Al ObaidD
- 24O. Abdulghani
- 67M. Al Rashidi
- 39A. Al DawsariM
- 70M. SawanM
- 26Y. Al ZubaidiF
Form going into Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood
Al-Fayha
No earlier matches on record this season.
Al Kholood
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Al-Ahli Jeddah29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 10 | Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Fayha and Al Kholood
Al-Fayha
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Al Kholood
GoalsAssists
- J. Domingues63
- Iker Kortajarena41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Fayha and Al Kholood drew 2–2. The goals: Hugo Moura 5' for Al-Fayha, I. Kortajarena 14' for Al Kholood, F. Sakala 57' for Al-Fayha, J. Domingues 88' for Al Kholood. On expected goals it finished 0.86–2.12.