5 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Duhail SC Stars League prediction & result

Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Al-Rayyan SC 1-1 Al-Duhail SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Al-Rayyan SC, 30% draw, 25% Al-Duhail SC — fair odds of 2.22, 3.33 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Al-Rayyan SC at 45% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al-Rayyan SC4%Draw93%Al-Duhail SC3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Róger Guedesassist: Jassem Gaber
5'
9'
🔁Edmilson Juniorout: Mubarak Shanan Hamza
Diogo Amaro
19'
40'
Ibrahima Bamba
45'
🔁Assim Madiboout: Marco Verratti
50'
🔁Bassam Al-Rawiout: Amidou Doumbouya
🔁Ahmed Al-Rawiout: Ahmed Alaaeldin
57'
🔁Diogo Amaroout: Julien De Sart
58'
66'
🔁Karim Boudiafout: Tahsin Jamshid
72'
⚽Tahsin Jamshid
🔁Gabriel Pereiraout: Otávio
73'
77'
Boubakary Soumaré
🔁Ahmed Al-Ganehiout: Khalid Ali Sabah
87'
🔁Jassem Gaberout: Abdullah Yousef
87'
André Amaro
90+6'
90+6'
Sultan Al-Brake

Match stats — Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Duhail SC

39%Possession61%
9Shots8
5On target4
4Corners5

Line-ups

Al-Rayyan SC 4-1-4-1
  • 57Mahmud AbunadaG
  • 8Jassem GaberD
  • 13André AmaroD
  • 5David GarcíaD
  • 33D. DiakiteD
  • 31D. AmaroM
  • 11Gabriel PereiraM
  • 40GregoreM
  • 22Ahmed Al GanehiM
  • 10Róger GuedesM
  • 19Ahmed Al RawiF
Substitutes
  • 3Hazem ShehataD
  • 12Ahmed Al MinhaliD
  • 23S. BeldiG
  • 15Mostafa EssamM
  • 35Sami MazenG
  • 4J. De SartM
  • 17Youssef AymanD
  • 6Abdulaziz HatemM
  • 20Khalid Ali SabahF
Coach: Vicente Moreno
Al-Duhail SC 4-2-3-1
  • 1Salah ZakariaG
  • 22I. BambaD
  • 3Lucas TutaD
  • 5Bassam Al RawiD
  • 18Sultan Al BraikD
  • 12Karim BoudiafM
  • 23Assim MadiboM
  • 19Almoez AliM
  • 24B. SoumaréM
  • 10Edmilson JuniorM
  • 7S. YansanéF
Substitutes
  • 97A. BelmadiF
  • 30A. DoumbouyaD
  • 11Tahsin JamshidF
  • 8Mubarak Shanan HamzaF
  • 6M. VerrattiM
  • 26Fahad BakerG
  • 13Jasim Babiker SarourG
Coach: D. Belmadi

Form going into Al-Rayyan SC vs Al-Duhail SC

Al-Rayyan SC

No earlier matches on record this season.

Al-Duhail SC

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Al-Arabi SC29 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Stars League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Al-Rayyan SC7520163+1317
3Al-Duhail SC7430156+915

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Al-Rayyan SC and Al-Duhail SC

Al-Rayyan SC

GoalsAssists

  • Róger Guedes52
  • Gabriel Pereira31
  • Ahmed Alaa Eldin30

Al-Duhail SC

GoalsAssists

  • Almoez Ali30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Al-Rayyan SC and Al-Duhail SC drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Rayyan SC at 45% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Róger Guedes 5' for Al-Rayyan SC, Tahsin Jamshid 72' for Al-Duhail SC.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.