Regular Season - 8 · 13 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

Teplice vs Slavia Praha Czech Liga prediction & result

AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Teplice 0-2 Slavia Praha.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Teplice, 28% draw, 43% Slavia Praha — fair odds of 3.45, 3.57 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Teplice 1.20, Slavia Praha 1.73.

Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Published · updated

Model insights: Teplice vs Slavia Praha

58%
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 12%1-2 10%0-1 9%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Slavia Praha at 43% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Oskars Vientiess
9'
12'
Samuel Isife
20'
⚽Wiktor Nowakassist: Samuel Isife
25'
•Mojmír Chytil
45'
🔁Samuel Isifeout: Ivan Schranz
🔁Idris Hopiout: John Auta
45'
45'
🔁Mojmír Chytilout: Danijel Sturm
🔁Matěj Pulkrabout: Tomas Zlatohlavek
56'
🔁Marcel Cermakout: Robert Jukl
57'
Jan Fortelný
70'
Zdenko Frťala
73'
🔁Josef Svandaout: Abdourahman Badamosi
73'
🔁Jan Fortelnýout: Daniel Mareček
78'
78'
🔁David Jurasekout: Oskar Kubiak
81'
Wiktor Nowak
Tomas Zlatohlavek
81'
81'
⚽Oskars Vientiess (OG)
82'
🔁Pavel Kacorout: Toumani Diakite
Lukáš Mareček
89'
90+2'
🔁Emmanuel Ayaosiout: Jakub Kolisek

Match stats — Teplice vs Slavia Praha

43%Possession57%
12Shots13
2On target7
0Corners6

Line-ups

Teplice 4-2-3-1
  • 31K. LichtenbergG
  • 3J. ŠvandaD
  • 4O. VientiessD
  • 28D. VečerkaD
  • 25M. RizničD
  • 8J. FortelnýM
  • 23L. MarečekM
  • 21I. HopiM
  • 12M. ČermákM
  • 35M. RadostaM
  • 10M. PulkrabF
Substitutes
  • 17John AutaM
  • 6M. BílekM
  • 5J. JakubkoD
  • 19R. JuklM
  • 14Ladislav Krejčí IM
  • 37D. MarečekM
  • 1L. NěmečekG
  • 32S. PechD
  • 22L. TakácsD
Coach: Z. Frťala
Slavia Praha 3-4-2-1
  • 35J. MarkovičG
  • 42M. KonečnýD
  • 27T. VlčekD
  • 2Š. ChaloupekD
  • 14S. IsifeM
  • 30W. NowakM
  • 32Pavel KacorM
  • 39D. JurásekM
  • 20E. AyaosiM
  • 13M. ChytilM
  • 25T. ChorýF
Substitutes
  • 26I. SchranzF
  • 43Eliáš PitákD
  • 45J. KolísekD
  • 29N. DomchakG
  • 22T. DiakitéM
  • 47D. BarcotD
  • 10D. ŠturmF
  • 9A. RajnohaM
  • 8O. KubiakD
Coach: J. Trpišovský

Form going into Teplice vs Slavia Praha

Teplice

  • W3-1away to Zlin6 September 2026
  • W2-0FK Jablonec30 August 2026
  • L0-2Zbrojovka Brno23 August 2026
  • L1-4away to Sparta Praha15 August 2026

Slavia Praha

  • W4-0Zbrojovka Brno5 September 2026
  • W3-0away to Sparta Praha30 August 2026
  • D2-2Bohemians 190522 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Slovan Liberec16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Teplice84131515013
1Slavia Praha8620235+1820

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Teplice vs Slavia Praha

  • 13 September 2026Teplice 0–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 5 December 2025Teplice 1–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 9 August 2025Slavia Praha 3–0 TepliceCzech Liga
  • 15 December 2024Teplice 1–0 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 17 August 2024Slavia Praha 2–1 TepliceCzech Liga
  • 10 March 2024Slavia Praha 4–0 TepliceCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Teplice and Slavia Praha

Teplice

  • John Auta4 goals
  • M. Pulkrab3 goals1 assists
  • L. Mareček3 goals1 assists

Slavia Praha

  • W. Nowak5 goals1 assists
  • M. Chytil4 goals
  • E. Ayaosi3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Expected against actual

Pre-match the model expected 1.20 goals for Teplice and 1.73 for Slavia Praha; the game produced 0 and 2.

Goals

Scorers, in order: Wiktor Nowak 20' (Slavia Praha), Oskars Vientiess 81' (Slavia Praha).

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Slavia Praha the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.2 expected goals for Teplice against 1.73 for Slavia Praha. Teplice's attack/defence rating is 0.73/1.26 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.14/1.01 for Slavia Praha.