19 September 2026, 14:30 UTC

ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur Eredivisie prediction & result

WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
Full time1 – 1

Final score: ADO Den Haag 1-1 Cambuur.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% ADO Den Haag, 29% draw, 33% Cambuur — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts ADO Den Haag at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

ADO Den Haag4%Draw92%Cambuur4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Nigel Thomas
21'
🔁Nigel Thomasout: Daryl van Mieghem
28'
44'
⚽Fabian Kvamassist: Sami Bouhoudane
58'
🔁Sami Bouhoudaneout: Wiebe Kooistra
🔁Jalen Hawkinsout: Jesse Bal
69'
🔁Jonas Jensen-Abbewout: Othniël Raterink
69'
🔁Matěj Šínout: Donat Barany
69'
71'
Mathieu Maertens
73'
🔁Ilyes Hamacheout: Iwan Henstra
73'
🔁Fabian Kvamout: Skye Vink
73'
🔁Mathieu Maertensout: Jamal Amofa
⚽Donat Baranyassist: Yannick Fereira Eduardo
74'
🔁Milan Hokkeout: Sekou Sylla
81'
Matteo Waem
83'
83'
🔁Devid Eugene Bouahout: Ethan Apkakou
90'
Wiebe Kooistra
Sekou Sylla
90'

Match stats — ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur

63%Possession37%
18Shots8
6On target3
6Corners3

Line-ups

ADO Den Haag 4-4-2
  • 1K. NikiémaG
  • 5J. Jensen-AbbewD
  • 3P. MulderD
  • 4M. WaemD
  • 15M. HokkeD
  • 17J. HawkinsM
  • 25J. KiloM
  • 33M. ŠínM
  • 27N. ThomasM
  • 46Y. EduardoF
  • 11E. RottierF
Substitutes
  • 7D. van MieghemF
  • 23N. ThiedeG
  • 18S. SyllaD
  • 2O. RaterinkD
  • 12Sem EekhoutG
  • 10Illaijh de RuijterD
  • 16F. de BruinM
  • 77D. BárányF
  • 9J. BalF
Coach: R. Peter
Cambuur 4-2-3-1
  • 1T. JansenG
  • 2D. BouahD
  • 4I. BaoufD
  • 14B. van DuijlD
  • 28M. CostarelliD
  • 33M. MaertensM
  • 8N. SourenM
  • 15F. KvamM
  • 10R. El ArguiouiM
  • 11I. HamacheM
  • 7S. BouhoudaneF
Substitutes
  • 3J. BerkhoutD
  • 17Ethan ApkakouM
  • 6J. AmofaD
  • 30J. ÇekaF
  • 29Iwan HenstraF
  • 23L. JettenD
  • 27W. KooistraF
  • 21J. MeijsterG
  • 16R. MuldersD
Coach: J. Plat

Form going into ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur

ADO Den Haag

Eredivisie

  • L0-2away to Twente12 September 2026

Cambuur

Eredivisie

  • W3-0NEC Nijmegen12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17ADO Den Haag101361323-106
10Cambuur103341922-312

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur

  • 16 January 2026ADO Den Haag 1–2 CambuurEerste Divisie
  • 21 November 2025Cambuur 2–0 ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie
  • 2 May 2025ADO Den Haag 3–4 CambuurEerste Divisie
  • 7 December 2024Cambuur 2–1 ADO Den HaagEerste Divisie
  • 29 October 2024ADO Den Haag 1–4 CambuurKNVB Beker

The full ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur record →

Leading scorers: ADO Den Haag and Cambuur

ADO Den Haag

No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Cambuur

GoalsAssists

  • I. Hamache52
  • N. Binder52
  • R. El Arguioui51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

ADO Den Haag and Cambuur drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for ADO Den Haag at 38% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Fabian Kvam 44' for Cambuur, Donat Barany 74' for ADO Den Haag.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.