19 September 2026, 12:00 UTC

Boulogne vs Nantes Ligue 2 prediction & result

Boulogne-sur-Mer
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Boulogne 1-2 Nantes.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Boulogne, 29% draw, 42% Nantes — fair odds of 3.45, 3.45 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Nantes at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Boulogne3%Draw93%Nantes4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

35'
Frédéric Guilbert
49'
⚽Igniatius Ganagoassist: Ibrahima Sissoko
⚽Nolan Binetassist: Noah Fatar
52'
🔁Abdel Hbouchout: Mohamed Soumah
53'
62'
🔁Balthazar Pierretout: Johann Lepenant
62'
🔁Mathieu Cafaroout: Antoine Joujou
🔁Joffrey Bultelout: Jonas Martin
65'
Mathieu Mion
77'
🔁Noah Fatarout: Aurelien Platret
82'
🔁Benjamin Besicout: Luderic Etonde
82'
🔁Theo Epaillyout: Sonny Duflos
82'
83'
🔁Ryad Hachemout: Louis Leroux
83'
🔁Igniatius Ganagoout: Amin Cherni
90'
🔁Fode Doucoureout: Dehmaine Tabibou
Mathieu Mion
90+3'
Blondy Nna Noukeu
90+6'
Demba Thiam
90+6'
90+7'
⚽Thomas Robinet (pen)

Match stats — Boulogne vs Nantes

49%Possession51%
10Shots11
2On target2
1Corners6

Line-ups

Boulogne 3-4-3
  • 99Blondy Rudolph Nna NoukeuG
  • 18D. ThiamD
  • 25A. KerriouD
  • 20T. BruscoD
  • 19N. BinetM
  • 14J. BultelM
  • 64T. EpaillyM
  • 29M. MionM
  • 10A. HbouchF
  • 17B. BesicF
  • 11N. FatarF
Substitutes
  • 12J. BoyerD
  • 22S. DuflosD
  • 13L. EtondeF
  • 1X. LenogueG
  • 8J. MartinM
  • 7A. NassiriM
  • 15A. PinotD
  • 21A. PlatretD
  • 36M. SoumahM
Coach: F. Dagneaux
Nantes 5-3-2
  • 1M. DupéG
  • 13F. DoucouréD
  • 24F. GuilbertD
  • 5L. PerrinD
  • 4S. SowD
  • 26R. HachemD
  • 44B. PierretM
  • 28I. SissokoM
  • 20M. CafaroM
  • 37I. GanagoF
  • 27T. RobinetF
Substitutes
  • 78T. TatiD
  • 17D. AssoumaniM
  • 19Louis LerouxM
  • 8J. LepenantM
  • 7A. JoujouF
  • 75A. CherniD
  • 30P. CarlgrenG
  • 98K. AmianD
  • 23W. YounoussaM
Coach: Grégory Poirier

Form going into Boulogne vs Nantes

Boulogne

Ligue 2

  • D0-0away to Clermont Foot11 September 2026

Nantes

Ligue 2

  • L0-1away to Sochaux12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Boulogne1017277010
15Nantes102261117-68

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Boulogne vs Nantes

  • 16 March 2012Nantes 3–3 BoulogneLigue 2
  • 24 October 2011Boulogne 2–1 NantesLigue 2
  • 4 April 2011Nantes 1–2 BoulogneLigue 2
  • 18 October 2010Boulogne 0–0 NantesLigue 2

Leading scorers: Boulogne and Nantes

Boulogne

GoalsAssists

  • A. Hbouch30

Nantes

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Nantes won 2–1 at Boulogne. The model had made a win for Nantes its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Igniatius Ganago 49' for Nantes, Nolan Binet 52' for Boulogne, Thomas Robinet (penalty) 90+7' for Nantes. Sent off: Mathieu Mion (Boulogne) 90+3'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.