Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: Academico Viseu 2-1 Vitória SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Academico Viseu, 31% draw, 29% Vitória SC — fair odds of 2.50, 3.23 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Primeira Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Academico Viseu at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC
Line-ups
- 98EwertonG
- 75RobinhoD
- 41A. CorreiaD
- 2N. MichelisD
- 57G. CostaD
- 7Luís SilvaM
- 31João GuilhermeM
- 14S. MesseguemM
- 8C. KahramanM
- 47L. GohiM
- 33André ClóvisF
- 10Á. ZamoraF
- 1Marcos LavínG
- 22Nils MortimerF
- 44Rúben PereiraD
- 5Pedro BarcelosD
- 9M. BouldiniF
- 45Alejandro MestanzaM
- 3Miguel BrauD
- 21Tomás DomingosD
- 48O. ZychG
- 23T. StrataD
- 28Thiago BalieiroD
- 5A. SidibéD
- 13João MendesD
- 16BeniM
- 44L. DoucetM
- 11GustavoM
- 20SamuM
- 7O. CamaraM
- 9A. JakupovicF
- 21T. BorevkovićD
- 22J. CastilloG
- 2Miguel MagaD
- 19V. AnderssonM
- 82F. DiasD
- 24A. NdoyeF
- 29V. OuotroF
- 4Óscar RivasD
- 8Gonçalo NogueiraM
Form going into Academico Viseu vs Vitória SC
Academico Viseu
Primeira Liga
- W1-0away to GIL Vicente6 September 2026
Vitória SC
Primeira Liga
- D0-0Casa Pia6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Academico Viseu and Vitória SC
Academico Viseu
GoalsAssists
- André Clóvis40
- João Guilherme30
Vitória SC
No player in Primeira Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Academico Viseu beat Vitória SC 2–1. The model had made a win for Academico Viseu its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Lorougnon Gohi 53' for Academico Viseu, Gonçalo Nogueira 67' for Vitória SC, Mohamed Bouldini 90+3' for Academico Viseu. Sent off: Alioune Ndoye (Vitória SC) 90+5'.
How the call on Academico Viseu v Vitória SC has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 40% / 31% / 29%: the biggest move is Vitória SC's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Academico Viseu win40%=
- Draw31%▲ +2
- Vitória SC win29%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.