Regular Season - 12 · 21 November 2026, 12:00 UTC

1. FC Nürnberg vs Eintracht Braunschweig 2. Bundesliga prediction

Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg

Our model says: 1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 Eintracht Braunschweig

The model makes it 59% 1. FC Nürnberg, 22% draw, 19% Eintracht Braunschweig — fair odds of 1.69, 4.55 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).

Expected goals: 1. FC Nürnberg 2.28, Eintracht Braunschweig 1.08.

Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.

Edge to 1. FC Nürnberg: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published 7 November 2026 · updated 11 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. 1. FC Nürnberg's rating is built from 45 2. Bundesliga matches and Eintracht Braunschweig's from 45, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 715 matches.

Key facts

1. FC Nürnberg are 2nd on 24 points from 11 games; Eintracht Braunschweig are 13th on 11 points from 11 games — 2. Bundesliga.
1. FC Nürnberg have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win at home to SV Darmstadt 98.
Eintracht Braunschweig have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Energie Cottbus.
Last 6 meetings: 1. FC Nürnberg 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 5 April 2026, ended Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg.

More 2. Bundesliga predictions

All 2. Bundesliga predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Eintracht Braunschweig

60%

Both teams to score

65%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

1. FC Nürnberg win Draw Eintracht Braunschweig win

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–07%
3–17%
3–07%
2–25%

Scores read 1. FC Nürnberg first; the other scorelines share the remaining 45%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

1. FC Nürnberg at 59%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into 1. FC Nürnberg vs Eintracht Braunschweig

1. FC Nürnberg

2. Bundesliga

W2-0SV Darmstadt 987 November 2026
W3-1away to FC St. Pauli1 November 2026
L0-11. FC Kaiserslautern24 October 2026
D1-1away to Energie Cottbus16 October 2026
D4-4VfL Wolfsburg10 October 2026

Eintracht Braunschweig

2. Bundesliga

D0-0Energie Cottbus6 November 2026
L1-3away to Arminia Bielefeld30 October 2026
W2-0Hannover 9625 October 2026
L0-2away to SpVgg Greuther Fürth17 October 2026
W1-0Holstein Kiel9 October 2026

What these results say

1. FC Nürnberg scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
1. FC Nürnberg conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
4 of these 5 matches for Eintracht Braunschweig had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

2. Bundesliga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	26	13	+13	24
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	16	18	-2	11

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

1. FC Nürnberg

Chance to finish in the top two · 46% today

Win 50%

Draw 40%

Defeat 38%

Eintracht Braunschweig

Chance to finish in the bottom two · 22% today

Win 13%

Draw 20%

Defeat 23%

From our 2. Bundesliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Eintracht Braunschweig

5 April 2026Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
1 November 20251. FC Nürnberg 2–1 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
18 May 2025Eintracht Braunschweig 1–4 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
21 December 20241. FC Nürnberg 1–0 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
2 March 2024FC Nurnberg 2–1 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
23 September 2023Eintracht Braunschweig 2–2 FC Nurnberg2. Bundesliga

Leading scorers: 1. FC Nürnberg and Eintracht Braunschweig

1. FC Nürnberg

GoalsAssists

M. Zoma70
P. Scobel61

Eintracht Braunschweig

GoalsAssists

Jan Urbich41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives 1. FC Nürnberg a 16.4% chance of the title and Eintracht Braunschweig 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

1. FC Nürnberg Eintracht Braunschweig

0.88 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.61

1.27 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.49

2.28 Model expected goals (this match) 1.08

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives 1. FC Nürnberg the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.28 expected goals for 1. FC Nürnberg against 1.08 for Eintracht Braunschweig. 1. FC Nürnberg's attack/defence rating is 0.88/1.27 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.49 for Eintracht Braunschweig.

1. FC Nürnberg carry a model rating of 6.67 against 6.4 for Eintracht Braunschweig.

How the model reaches 59% for 1. FC Nürnberg to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for 1. FC Nürnberg to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, 1. FC Nürnberg's ratings add 8 points and Eintracht Braunschweig's ratings add 8 points, which lands on the published 59%.

Two average sides, neutral ground37%
Home advantage43%+6
1. FC Nürnberg's ratings51%+8
Eintracht Braunschweig's ratings59%+8

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

1. FC NürnbergModelEintracht Braunschweig

Over 1.5 goals

80%

8 of 10 games

85%

model, this match

60%

6 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

60%

6 of 10 games

65%

model, this match

40%

4 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

50%

5 of 10 games

43%

model, this match

40%

4 of 10 games

Both teams score

70%

7 of 10 games

60%

model, this match

40%

4 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

1. FC NürnbergEintracht Braunschweig

11Matches11

7W 3D 1LRecord3W 2D 6L

26 2.4 per gameGoals scored16 1.5 per game

13 1.2 per gameGoals conceded18 1.6 per game

3 of 11Clean sheets3 of 11

1 of 11Failed to score4 of 11

0 of 1Penalties scored2 of 2

23 2.1 per gameYellow cards23 2.1 per game

4-2-3-1 11×Usual shape4-1-4-1 3×

1. FC Nürnberg at home · Eintracht Braunschweig away

6Played5

4W 1D 1LRecord1W 0D 4L

15–7Goals for – against8–10

2 of 6Clean sheets0 of 5

League matches only, 2. Bundesliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

1. FC NürnbergEintracht Braunschweig

1. FC Nürnberg are 2nd after 11 2. Bundesliga matches (between 1st and 2nd so far); Eintracht Braunschweig are 13th after 11 (between 1st and 14th). How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All 2. Bundesliga matches this season: 1. FC Nürnberg 11, Eintracht Braunschweig 11.

1. FC Nürnberg scored 334564

Eintracht Braunschweig conceded 133253

1. FC Nürnberg score most often in the 61–75 minute window (6 goals); Eintracht Braunschweig have let in 5 there.

Eintracht Braunschweig scored 432323

1. FC Nürnberg conceded 322403

Eintracht Braunschweig score most often in the 0–15 minute window (4 goals); 1. FC Nürnberg have let in 3 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

1. FC Nürnberg

at 1. FC Heidenheim27 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 43%
vs VfL Bochum5 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 53%
at 1. FC Magdeburg11 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 33%
vs VfL Osnabrück18 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 57%
at Hertha BSC16 Jan · 2. Bundesligawin 29%

Eintracht Braunschweig

vs VfL Wolfsburg29 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 28%
at SV Darmstadt 986 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 34%
vs Karlsruher SC12 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 47%
at 1. FC Heidenheim20 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 28%
vs FC St. Pauli16 Jan · 2. Bundesligawin 40%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.