Sevilla
vs
Real Betis
La Liga prediction
Our model says: Sevilla 1–2 Real Betis
The model makes it 30% Sevilla, 27% draw, 43% Real Betis — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Sevilla 1.30, Real Betis 1.67.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,919 settled matches.
Edge to Real Betis: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 10 November 2026. Sevilla's rating is built from 50 La Liga matches and Real Betis's from 50, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 879 matches.
Key facts
- Sevilla are 6th on 18 points from 12 games; Real Betis are 4th on 26 points from 12 games — La Liga.
- Sevilla have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Alaves.
- Real Betis are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 2-0 win away to Elche.
- Last 6 meetings: Real Betis 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 1 March 2026, ended Real Betis 2–2 Sevilla.
More La Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Sevilla vs Real Betis
Has the model earned this number?
Real Betis at 43%: of 2,924 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.0% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Sevilla vs Real Betis
Sevilla
La Liga
- D0-0Alaves6 November 2026
- L1-3away to Getafe1 November 2026
- W2-0Osasuna26 October 2026
- L1-4away to Real Madrid18 October 2026
- D3-3away to Levante12 October 2026
Real Betis
La Liga
- W2-0away to Elche8 November 2026
- W2-1Malaga31 October 2026
- D0-0away to Celta Vigo25 October 2026
- L2-5Barcelona17 October 2026
- W5-2Osasuna11 October 2026
What these results say
- Sevilla failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sevilla scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Real Betis scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Real Betis
Chance to finish in the top four · 65% today
From our La Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Real Betis vs Sevilla
Real Betis and Sevilla have met 6 times in the records we hold, Real Betis has won 2 of them to Sevilla's 1, with 3 drawn.
The record
They drew 2–2 at Real Betis on 1 Mar 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 |
| Sevilla | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 14 goals, an average of 2.33 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 1 Mar 2026
La LigaReal Betis 2–2 Sevilla - 30 Nov 2025
La LigaSevilla 0–2 Real Betis - 30 Mar 2025
La LigaReal Betis 2–1 Sevilla - 6 Oct 2024
La LigaSevilla 1–0 Real Betis - 28 Apr 2024
La LigaReal Betis 1–1 Sevilla - 12 Nov 2023
La LigaSevilla 1–1 Real Betis
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Real Betis' attack rates 34% above Sevilla's, and Real Betis concede 21% fewer than Sevilla. That gives Real Betis the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | 1.27 | 0.85 |
| Sevilla | 0.95 | 1.07 |
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Sevilla a 0% chance of the title and Real Betis 1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How the call on Sevilla v Real Betis has moved
First published on 8 Nov at 32% / 27% / 41% (home / draw / away). After 1 update it reads 30% / 27% / 43%: the biggest move is Sevilla's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Sevilla win30%▼ −2
- Draw27%=
- Real Betis win43%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Real Betis the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.30 expected goals for Sevilla against 1.67 for Real Betis. Sevilla's attack/defence rating is 0.95/1.07 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.27/0.85 for Real Betis.
How the model reaches 43% for Real Betis to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Real Betis to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, Sevilla's ratings add 6 points and Real Betis's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 43%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Both sides at this match's level30%+1
- Sevilla's ratings36%+6
- Real Betis's ratings43%+7
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Sevilla at home · Real Betis away
League matches only, La Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
SevillaReal Betis
Sevilla are 6th after 12 La Liga matches (between 1st and 7th so far); Real Betis are 4th after 12 (between 2nd and 5th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All La Liga matches this season: Sevilla 12, Real Betis 12.
Sevilla score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Real Betis have let in 3 there.
Real Betis score most often in the 31–45 minute window (8 goals); Sevilla have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Sevilla
- at Real Sociedad29 Nov · La Ligawin 23%
- vs Malaga6 Dec · La Ligawin 56%
- at Elche13 Dec · La Ligawin 30%
- vs Racing Santander20 Dec · La Ligawin 56%
- at Villarreal3 Jan · La Ligawin 19%
Real Betis
- at Slovan Bratislava24 Nov · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 66%
- vs Rayo Vallecano28 Nov · La Ligawin 58%
- at Atletico Madrid6 Dec · La Ligawin 24%
- vs Como9 Dec · UEFA Champions Leaguewin 40%
- vs Racing Santander13 Dec · La Ligawin 72%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.