FC Isloch Minsk R.
vs
Slavia Mozyr
Premier League prediction
Our model says: FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–0 Slavia Mozyr
The model makes it 59% FC Isloch Minsk R., 24% draw, 17% Slavia Mozyr — fair odds of 1.69, 4.17 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: FC Isloch Minsk R. 2.01, Slavia Mozyr 0.83.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to FC Isloch Minsk R.: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- FC Isloch Minsk R. are 2nd on 49 points from 24 games; Slavia Mozyr are 10th on 25 points from 24 games — Premier League.
- FC Isloch Minsk R. have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 4-2 win at home to FC Minsk.
- Slavia Mozyr are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat away to Dinamo Minsk.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 1 win each, 4 draws; the most recent, 20 June 2026, ended Slavia Mozyr 0–2 FC Isloch Minsk R..
More Belarusian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Slavia Mozyr
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Isloch Minsk R. at 59% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 989 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Slavia Mozyr
FC Isloch Minsk R.
- W4-2FC Minsk17 October 2026
- D0-0away to FC Vitebsk11 October 2026
- L1-2Neman19 September 2026
- W2-1FC Gomel13 September 2026
- D1-1Arsenal Dzerzhinsk7 September 2026
Slavia Mozyr
- L1-3away to Dinamo Minsk15 October 2026
- L1-2away to Bate Borisov10 October 2026
- L0-1Naftan19 September 2026
- L0-1away to FC Minsk11 September 2026
- W3-0FC Vitebsk4 September 2026
What these results say
- FC Isloch Minsk R. scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Isloch Minsk R. conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for FC Isloch Minsk R..
- Slavia Mozyr failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slavia Mozyr conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 41 | 20 | +21 | 49 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 14% today
Slavia Mozyr
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 4% today
From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Slavia Mozyr
- 20 June 2026Slavia Mozyr 0–2 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
- 17 January 2026FC Isloch Minsk R. 0–0 Slavia MozyrFriendlies Clubs
- 2 August 2025Slavia Mozyr 1–1 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
- 14 March 2025FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–2 Slavia MozyrPremier League
- 17 August 2024FC Isloch Minsk R. 0–0 Slavia MozyrPremier League
- 7 April 2024Slavia Mozyr 2–1 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
The two sides
FC Isloch Minsk R. carry a model rating of 6.42 against 6.13 for Slavia Mozyr. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.01 goals for FC Isloch Minsk R. and 0.83 for Slavia Mozyr. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Isloch Minsk R. rate 0.62 in attack and 1.47 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Slavia Mozyr rate 0.47 and 1.99.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Isloch Minsk R. a 13.5% chance of the title and Slavia Mozyr 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Isloch Minsk R. the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.01 expected goals for FC Isloch Minsk R. against 0.83 for Slavia Mozyr. FC Isloch Minsk R.'s attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.47 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.47/1.99 for Slavia Mozyr.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
FC Isloch Minsk R. at home · Slavia Mozyr away
League matches only, Premier League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: FC Isloch Minsk R. 24, Slavia Mozyr 24.
FC Isloch Minsk R. score most often in the 16–30 minute window (9 goals); Slavia Mozyr have let in 5 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
FC Isloch Minsk R.
- at Belshina7 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 51%
- vs Torpedo Zhodino21 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 60%
- at Bate Borisov28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 47%
Slavia Mozyr
- vs Baranovichi7 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 51%
- at ML Vitebsk21 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 13%
- vs Dinamo Brest28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 33%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.