FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland Superliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Midtjylland 2-2 FC Nordsjaelland.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% FC Midtjylland, 29% draw, 27% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Midtjylland at 44% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland
Line-ups
- 1E. ÓlafssonG
- 5R. KristensenD
- 6M. ErlićD
- 3M. JensenD
- 55V. Bak JensenD
- 8P. BillingM
- 19P. BravoM
- 29K. WätjenM
- 21D. CastilloM
- 10Cho Gue-SungF
- 90F. EtimF
- 27S. JohannesenM
- 20Hong Hyun-SeokM
- 25N. BakkerG
- 18S. IheanachoF
- 15B. Dje Bi DjeD
- 98D. MartínezF
- 34N. A. AzizD
- 9M. RajovićF
- 17M. UhreF
- 13A. HansenG
- 2P. AnkersenD
- 25V. NelssonD
- 15S. AcquahD
- 5J. LähteenmäkiM
- 18Justin JanssenM
- 6M. BrinkM
- 23R. NorheimM
- 37Lamine SadioF
- 11A. LindF
- 14Ibrahim AdelF
- 29V. BerthelsenM
- 40H. Boe RasmussenM
- 22C. ErikssonG
- 4Noah MarkmannD
- 9O. SolbakkenF
- 47M. HeydeM
- 42M. TukaD
- 10P. AmoakoF
- 28M. WalkerD
Form going into FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland
FC Midtjylland
- W2-0away to Aarhus2 September 2026
FC Nordsjaelland
- L0-2away to FC Copenhagen3 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland
- 7 September 2026FC Midtjylland 2–2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 10 May 2026FC Nordsjaelland 0–0 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 15 March 2026FC Midtjylland 0–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 14 December 2025FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 FC MidtjyllandDBU Pokalen
- 4 December 2025FC Midtjylland 5–1 FC NordsjaellandDBU Pokalen
- 30 November 2025FC Midtjylland 6–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
Leading scorers: FC Midtjylland and FC Nordsjaelland
FC Midtjylland
GoalsAssists
- F. Etim53
- S. Iheanacho31
FC Nordsjaelland
GoalsAssists
- A. Lind31
- H. Boe Rasmussen31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.