Cambuur
vs
GO Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie prediction
Our model says: Cambuur 1–2 GO Ahead Eagles
The model makes it 32% Cambuur, 24% draw, 44% GO Ahead Eagles — fair odds of 3.13, 4.17 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Cambuur 1.69, GO Ahead Eagles 2.03.
Both teams to score: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 72%, under 2.5: 28%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Edge to GO Ahead Eagles: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Match centre: line-ups, live score and match stats →
Key facts
- Cambuur are 12th on 8 points from 8 games; GO Ahead Eagles are 9th on 11 points from 8 games — Eredivisie.
- Cambuur are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to PEC Zwolle.
- GO Ahead Eagles have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 3-3 draw at home to Sparta Rotterdam.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 5 March 2023, ended Cambuur 4–1 GO Ahead Eagles.
More Eredivisie predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles
Has the model earned this number?
It puts GO Ahead Eagles at 44% here. Across 3,865 settled matches (as of 17 October 2026), 1,804 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles
Cambuur
- W1-0away to PEC Zwolle11 October 2026
- D1-1away to ADO Den Haag19 September 2026
- W3-0NEC Nijmegen12 September 2026
- D2-2away to Telstar6 September 2026
- L1-4Twente30 August 2026
GO Ahead Eagles
- D3-3Sparta Rotterdam10 October 2026
- D1-1away to NEC Nijmegen20 September 2026
- D1-1Groningen12 September 2026
- D3-3away to Utrecht8 September 2026
- L2-5away to AZ Alkmaar29 August 2026
What these results say
- Cambuur scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- GO Ahead Eagles did not win any of these 5 matches.
- GO Ahead Eagles scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- GO Ahead Eagles conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles
Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles have met 6 times in the records we hold, they have won 2 each, with 2 drawn.
The record
Cambuur won the last one 4–1 on 5 Mar 2023.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 18 goals, an average of 3.00 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 5 Mar 2023
EredivisieCambuur 4–1 GO Ahead Eagles - 9 Oct 2022
EredivisieGO Ahead Eagles 0–0 Cambuur - 19 Mar 2022
EredivisieGO Ahead Eagles 3–0 Cambuur - 11 Sep 2021
EredivisieCambuur 5–2 GO Ahead Eagles - 12 Mar 2021
Eerste DivisieGO Ahead Eagles 0–0 Cambuur - 17 Dec 2020
KNVB BekerCambuur 1–2 GO Ahead Eagles
How the model rates them now
Attack and defence are multipliers on an average side: above 1.00 in attack means the club scores more than the average team in its competition, and below 1.00 in defence means it concedes fewer. The methodology sets out how they are derived, including where the model is known to be wrong.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 0.74 | 1.47 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 0.94 | 1.24 |
Leading scorers: Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles
Cambuur
GoalsAssists
- R. El Arguioui40
GO Ahead Eagles
GoalsAssists
- S. Tengstedt62
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Cambuur carry a model rating of 6.51 against 6.71 for GO Ahead Eagles. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.69 goals for Cambuur and 2.03 for GO Ahead Eagles. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Cambuur rate 0.74 in attack and 1.47 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; GO Ahead Eagles rate 0.94 and 1.24.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Cambuur a 0% chance of the title and GO Ahead Eagles 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,938 correct results out of 4,046 settled predictions (48%), with 405 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives GO Ahead Eagles the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.69 expected goals for Cambuur against 2.03 for GO Ahead Eagles. Cambuur's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.47 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.94/1.24 for GO Ahead Eagles.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Cambuur at home · GO Ahead Eagles away
League matches only, Eredivisie, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
CambuurGO Ahead Eagles
Cambuur are 12th after 8 Eredivisie matches (between 12th and 18th so far); GO Ahead Eagles are 8th after 8 (between 2nd and 9th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Eredivisie matches this season: Cambuur 8, GO Ahead Eagles 8.
Cambuur score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); GO Ahead Eagles have let in 5 there.
GO Ahead Eagles score most often in the 61–75 minute window (6 goals); Cambuur have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Cambuur
- vs PSV Eindhoven8 Nov · Eredivisiewin 15%
- at Utrecht21 Nov · Eredivisiewin 24%
- vs Sparta Rotterdam28 Nov · Eredivisiewin 44%
GO Ahead Eagles
- at Excelsior7 Nov · Eredivisiewin 36%
- vs Fortuna Sittard22 Nov · Eredivisiewin 50%
- at PSV Eindhoven28 Nov · Eredivisiewin 14%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.