Primeira Liga

1. FC Porto — 18 points from 6 played (6 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost), 15 scored, 2 conceded, goal difference +13. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
2. Benfica — 16 points from 6 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost), 21 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
3. Sporting CP — 14 points from 6 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost), 15 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
4. Santa Clara — 14 points from 6 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost), 11 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W W D W W.
5. Arouca — 10 points from 6 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 8 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W L W D L.
6. Estrela — 10 points from 6 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost), 14 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W D W D.
7. SC Braga — 10 points from 5 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 7 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W W L W.
8. Academico Viseu — 8 points from 6 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 7 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L D L W W.
9. GIL Vicente — 7 points from 5 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 4 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: W W D L L.
10. Maritimo — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: W D L L L.
11. Moreirense — 7 points from 6 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L W L L W.
12. Alverca — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 8 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: D L D L W.
13. Famalicao — 4 points from 6 played (0 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 5 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L L D D D.
14. Vitória SC — 4 points from 6 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 4 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L W L D L.
15. Nacional — 4 points from 6 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 7 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: W L L L L.
16. Rio Ave — 4 points from 6 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 5 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L W L L D.
17. Estoril — 2 points from 6 played (0 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 2 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: L L L D L.
18. Casa Pia — 1 points from 6 played (0 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 1 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: L L L D L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 18 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Maritimo — bottom-three risk up 7.5, to 13.6%.
• Moreirense — bottom-three risk down 6.4, to 12.5%.
• Estoril — bottom-three risk up 4.8, to 42%.
• Benfica — chance of finishing top down 3.5, to 31%.
• Alverca — bottom-three risk down 3.1, to 22.6%.

Season projection

Every one of the 253 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. FC Porto — projected to finish on 71.6 points, from 18 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 38.3% (up 1.4), finishes top four 98.6%, bottom three 0%.
2. Benfica — projected to finish on 70.2 points, from 16 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 31% (down 3.5), finishes top four 98.2%, bottom three 0%.
3. Sporting CP — projected to finish on 69.9 points, from 14 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 28.6% (up 2), finishes top four 98.2%, bottom three 0%.
4. SC Braga — projected to finish on 59.3 points, from 10 after 5 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2% (up 0.1), finishes top four 69.5%, bottom three 0%.
5. Santa Clara — projected to finish on 48.7 points, from 14 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (up 0.1), finishes top four 9.5%, bottom three 1.6%.
6. GIL Vicente — projected to finish on 47.5 points, from 7 after 5 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top four 7.9%, bottom three 3.1%.
7. Academico Viseu — projected to finish on 46.1 points, from 8 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 5%, bottom three 4.5%.
8. Estrela — projected to finish on 44.4 points, from 10 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 2.7%, bottom three 7.1%.
9. Famalicao — projected to finish on 44.4 points, from 4 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 3.3%, bottom three 6.5%.
10. Arouca — projected to finish on 43.5 points, from 10 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 2.4%, bottom three 8.4%.
11. Moreirense — projected to finish on 42.4 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.5%, bottom three 12.5%.
12. Maritimo — projected to finish on 42 points, from 7 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.3%, bottom three 13.6%.
13. Alverca — projected to finish on 39.5 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.6%, bottom three 22.6%.
14. Vitória SC — projected to finish on 38.7 points, from 4 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.6%, bottom three 25.7%.
15. Nacional — projected to finish on 37 points, from 4 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom three 35.7%.
16. Estoril — projected to finish on 35.9 points, from 2 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 42%.
17. Rio Ave — projected to finish on 34.8 points, from 4 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom three 49.6%.
18. Casa Pia — projected to finish on 32 points, from 1 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 67.2%.

Top scorers

1. V. Pavlidis (Benfica) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
2. G. Prestianni (Benfica) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
3. Gonçalo Paciência (Santa Clara) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
4. L. Suárez (Sporting CP) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
5. Barbero (Arouca) — 4 goals.
6. L. Antonetti (Estrela) — 4 goals.
7. Flávio Gonçalves (Sporting CP) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
8. Pau Victor (SC Braga) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
9. Borja Sainz (FC Porto) — 3 goals.
10. Gabri Veiga (FC Porto) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
11. Héctor Hernández (GIL Vicente) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
12. I. Stoica (Estrela) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
13. André Silva (FC Porto) — 3 goals.
14. G. Koutsias (Famalicao) — 3 goals.
15. William (FC Porto) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
16. F. Ioannidis (Sporting CP) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
17. L. Barreiro (Benfica) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
18. A. Marcus (Estrela) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
19. Vivaldo Semedo (Alverca) — 2 goals.
20. André Clóvis (Academico Viseu) — 2 goals.