- Guadalajara Chivas — 17 points from 8 played (5 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 15 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W W D W W.
- Toluca — 16 points from 7 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 17 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W D W W W.
- Club America — 16 points from 7 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 15 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W W W W L.
- Cruz Azul — 15 points from 8 played (5 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost), 16 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L L W W W.
- Club Queretaro — 13 points from 7 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 10 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W D L W W.
- Leon — 13 points from 8 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W W D L W.
- Club Tijuana — 13 points from 7 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 10 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W L W L.
- Puebla — 13 points from 7 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 10 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D W W L W.
- Atlas — 13 points from 8 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 12 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W W L D L.
- CF Pachuca — 11 points from 8 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 13 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: L D D W W.
- Pumas UNAM — 11 points from 8 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D D L W L.
- Monterrey — 10 points from 7 played (3 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 13 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W L L D.
- Necaxa — 8 points from 8 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 9 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L D L D L.
- Tigres UANL — 7 points from 8 played (1 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 9 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L W D D D.
- Atlante FC — 7 points from 8 played (1 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: D L D D L.
- Atletico San Luis — 6 points from 8 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 8 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L D W L L.
- Santos Laguna — 4 points from 8 played (1 won, 1 drawn, 6 lost), 6 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L L D L W.
- FC Juarez — 0 points from 8 played (0 won, 0 drawn, 8 lost), 4 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -19. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.
What moved
Measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed —
not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried
forward rather than restamped. 18 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.
- Atletico San Luis — bottom-three risk up 14, to 37.2%.
- Leon — chance of finishing top up 0.4, to 0.8%; bottom-three risk down 4.1, to 1.2%.
- Atlante FC — bottom-three risk down 3.9, to 26.8%.
- Guadalajara Chivas — chance of finishing top down 2.4, to 28.7%.
- Monterrey — bottom-three risk down 1.4, to 17.3%.
Season projection
Every one of the 84 matches this phase has left,
played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each
side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a
title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those
depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the Apertura only. The Apertura is not the end of the competition: Apertura - Play-In Semi-finals, Apertura - Play-In Final, Apertura - Quarter-finals, and on from there follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed.
- Guadalajara Chivas — projected to finish on 32.6 points, from 17 after 8 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 28.7% (down 2.4), finishes top four 79.1%, bottom three 0%.
- Toluca — projected to finish on 32.5 points, from 16 after 7 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 29.6% (up 1.2), finishes top four 76.7%, bottom three 0%.
- Club America — projected to finish on 30.5 points, from 16 after 7 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 15.1% (down 0.3), finishes top four 57.7%, bottom three 0%.
- Club Queretaro — projected to finish on 30.2 points, from 13 after 7 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 11.6% (down 0.1), finishes top four 54.4%, bottom three 0.1%.
- Club Tijuana — projected to finish on 28.5 points, from 13 after 7 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 6.1% (up 0.8), finishes top four 36.7%, bottom three 0.3%.
- Puebla — projected to finish on 27.5 points, from 13 after 7 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 3.5% (up 0.1), finishes top four 27.2%, bottom three 0.5%.
- Cruz Azul — projected to finish on 26.5 points, from 15 after 8 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 1.9% (up 0.1), finishes top four 19%, bottom three 0.4%.
- Atlas — projected to finish on 26.1 points, from 13 after 8 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 1.4% (up 0.4), finishes top four 16.1%, bottom three 0.9%.
- CF Pachuca — projected to finish on 24.9 points, from 11 after 8 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 1.1%, finishes top four 13%, bottom three 1.3%.
- Leon — projected to finish on 24.9 points, from 13 after 8 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 0.8% (up 0.4), finishes top four 10.4%, bottom three 1.2%.
- Pumas UNAM — projected to finish on 23.9 points, from 11 after 8 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 0.3%, finishes top four 7%, bottom three 3.3%.
- Monterrey — projected to finish on 19.9 points, from 10 after 7 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 0%, finishes top four 1.2%, bottom three 17.3%.
- Tigres UANL — projected to finish on 19.5 points, from 7 after 8 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 0%, finishes top four 0.6%, bottom three 18.2%.
- Necaxa — projected to finish on 19.4 points, from 8 after 8 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 0%, finishes top four 0.5%, bottom three 21.6%.
- Atlante FC — projected to finish on 18.7 points, from 7 after 8 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 26.8%.
- Atletico San Luis — projected to finish on 17.8 points, from 6 after 8 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom three 37.2%.
- Santos Laguna — projected to finish on 14.2 points, from 4 after 8 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 73%.
- FC Juarez — projected to finish on 8.3 points, from 0 after 8 played. Finishes top of the Apertura 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 98%.
Top scorers
- S. Rondón (CF Pachuca) — 8 goals.
- L. Ocampos (Monterrey) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
- J. Carranza (Necaxa) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
- Juninho (Pumas UNAM) — 4 goals.
- S. Homenchenko (Club Queretaro) — 4 goals, 2 assists.
- G. Mora (Club Tijuana) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
- J. Márquez (Cruz Azul) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
- R. Aguirre (Tigres UANL) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
- E. Mustre (Puebla) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
- N. Ibáñez (Cruz Azul) — 3 goals.
- R. Alvarado (Guadalajara Chivas) — 3 goals.
- Rafa Llorente (Atletico San Luis) — 3 goals.
- A. Ávila (Club Queretaro) — 3 goals.
- B. Rodríguez (Club America) — 3 goals.
- J. Brunetta (Tigres UANL) — 3 goals, 4 assists.
- H. Martín (Club America) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
- Ó. Estupiñán (FC Juarez) — 3 goals.
- D. Arcila (Leon) — 3 goals.
- F. Viñas (Toluca) — 3 goals.
- J. Paradela (Cruz Azul) — 2 goals, 4 assists.