Club Tijuana
vs
Atlante FC
Liga MX prediction
Our model says: Club Tijuana 2–0 Atlante FC
The model makes it 57% Club Tijuana, 25% draw, 18% Atlante FC — fair odds of 1.75, 4.00 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Club Tijuana 1.91, Atlante FC 0.87.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Edge to Club Tijuana: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Club Tijuana's rating is built from 53 Liga MX matches and Atlante FC's from 16, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 820 matches.
Key facts
- Club Tijuana are 9th on 22 points from 16 games; Atlante FC are 16th on 14 points from 16 games — Liga MX.
- Club Tijuana are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Necaxa.
- Atlante FC are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Santos Laguna.
More Liga MX predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Club Tijuana vs Atlante FC
Has the model earned this number?
Club Tijuana at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Club Tijuana vs Atlante FC
Club Tijuana
Liga MX
- L0-1away to Necaxa7 November 2026
- D3-3away to Monterrey1 November 2026
- D1-1away to Club America29 October 2026
- W4-1Santos Laguna26 October 2026
- D2-2away to Toluca22 October 2026
Atlante FC
Liga MX
- L0-2Santos Laguna7 November 2026
- L2-4away to Guadalajara Chivas1 November 2026
- L0-1Atletico San Luis24 October 2026
- W1-0away to FC Juarez21 October 2026
- L1-2Pumas UNAM17 October 2026
What these results say
- Club Tijuana conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Club Tijuana failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Club Tijuana scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Atlante FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Atlante FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | +3 | 22 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Club Tijuana
Chance to finish in the top eight · 56% today
Atlante FC
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 87% today
From our Liga MX season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Club Tijuana the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.91 expected goals for Club Tijuana against 0.87 for Atlante FC. Club Tijuana's attack/defence rating is 0.77/1.18 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.44 for Atlante FC.
How the model reaches 57% for Club Tijuana to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Club Tijuana to win. Then home advantage adds 9 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, Club Tijuana's ratings add 7 points and Atlante FC's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 57%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage45%+9
- Both sides at this match's level43%−2
- Club Tijuana's ratings50%+7
- Atlante FC's ratings57%+7
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Club Tijuana at home · Atlante FC away
League matches only, Liga MX, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Club TijuanaAtlante FC
Club Tijuana are 9th after 16 Liga MX matches (between 1st and 9th so far); Atlante FC are 16th after 16 (between 9th and 18th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga MX matches this season: Club Tijuana 16, Atlante FC 16.
Club Tijuana score most often in the 31–45 minute window (6 goals); Atlante FC have let in 2 there.
Atlante FC score most often in the 46–60 minute window (5 goals); Club Tijuana have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.