Weekend preview, 24-25 October: Borac Banja Luka the surest call of 416 matches
Our model has a prediction for 416 matches this weekend (24-25 October), across 66 competitions. It is surest about Borac Banja Luka: 79% to beat Sloga Doboj, most likely 2-0. 46 matches are within three points either way, games where the draw is a real outcome.
The biggest matches
- Barcelona vs Real Madrid (La Liga, Sunday 20:00 UTC): 48% / 25% / 27%, most likely 2-1.
- Liverpool vs Brighton (Premier League (England), Sunday 14:00 UTC): 34% / 26% / 40%, most likely 1-2.
- Aston Villa vs Manchester City (Premier League (England), Saturday 11:30 UTC): 25% / 24% / 51%, most likely 1-2.
- Crystal Palace vs Newcastle (Premier League (England), Sunday 14:00 UTC): 38% / 25% / 37%, most likely 2-1.
- Hull City vs Brentford (Premier League (England), Sunday 14:00 UTC): 34% / 29% / 37%, most likely 0-1.
The surest calls
- Borac Banja Luka vs Sloga Doboj (Premijer Liga): Borac Banja Luka at 79%, most likely 2-0.
- Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok (Super Liga (Slovakia)): Dunajska Streda at 76%, most likely 2-0.
- AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos (Super League 1): AEK Athens FC at 75%, most likely 2-0.
- Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau (Bundesliga (Austria)): Rapid Vienna at 75%, most likely 3-0.
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk (Premier League (Ukraine)): Shakhtar Donetsk at 75%, most likely 2-0.
For scale: calls the model rated at 75% or more have landed 66% of the time, across 140 settled predictions. Sure is not certain.
The coin flips
Home and away within three points of each other. The model still names a pick, but the draw is live.
- Crystal Palace vs Newcastle (Premier League (England)): 38% / 25% / 37%.
- Hull City vs Brentford (Premier League (England)): 34% / 29% / 37%.
- Celta Vigo vs Real Betis (La Liga): 35% / 29% / 36%.
- Coventry vs Fulham (Premier League (England)): 34% / 29% / 37%.
- Racing Santander vs Espanyol (La Liga): 37% / 26% / 37%.
And 41 more, each marked "Tight game" on its match page.
How to read these
The three numbers are the model's chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. Every match has its own page with the full breakdown, and the fixtures page lists the whole weekend. How the probabilities are made is in the methodology; how often they have been right, in the track record. Statistical estimates, not betting advice.