Toluca

Toluca sit 13th in the Liga MX on 3 points from 2 matches, having scored 3 and conceded 2. The model rates their attack at 0.68× the league average and their defence at 1.27× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 2 league matches they have 1 win and 1 defeat, most recently losing to Pumas UNAM 1-2 at home. Next they host Necaxa in the Liga MX on 3 August 2026, a match the model gives them 35%.

Model rating

How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average.

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