Burton Albion sit 12th in the League One on 9 points from 7 matches, having scored 12 and conceded 12 — level on goal difference. On the model's scale they rate 0.55 in attack and 1.85 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against League One averages of 0.56 and 1.78: close to the division's average. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, most recently drawing with Mansfield Town 2-2 at home. That is 1.29 points a match, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.71 per game across 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. That leaves them 6 points behind Bradford at the top, in a table of 24. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 12th-best attack and the 17th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Plymouth in the League One on 26 September 2026, a match the model gives them 26%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 | Plymouth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Reading | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 10 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 10 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 10 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 | Burton Albion | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
Burton Albion sit 12 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D2-2Mansfield Town19 September 2026
- L0-3away to Oxford United12 September 2026
- D2-2Cambridge United5 September 2026
- W4-1AFC Wimbledon2 September 2026
- L1-2away to Notts County29 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Burton Albion vs Plymouth
Burton Albion travel to Plymouth at Home Park, Plymouth on 26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 26% Burton Albion, 26% draw and 48% Plymouth, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.19 expected goals for Burton Albion against 2.06. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Full preview and model analysis for Burton Albion vs Plymouth
Recent meetings with Plymouth
- 4 January 2026Plymouth 3–0 Burton AlbionLeague One
- 27 September 2025Burton Albion 0–4 PlymouthLeague One
- 29 April 2023Plymouth 1–0 Burton AlbionLeague One
- 19 November 2022Burton Albion 2–2 PlymouthLeague One
- 9 April 2022Burton Albion 0–0 PlymouthLeague One
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.