Zlin vs Slavia Praha Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zlin 0-1 Slavia Praha.
Before kick-off the model made it 10% Zlin, 16% draw, 74% Slavia Praha — fair odds of 10.00, 6.25 and 1.35.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Slavia Praha at 74%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zlin vs Slavia Praha
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 17Stanislav DostalG
- 35Ondřej KukučkaD
- 24Jakub ČernínD
- 39Antonín KřapkaD
- 22Michal FukalaD
- 8David MachalíkM
- 19Cletus NombilM
- 23Miloš KopečnýM
- 3Stefan JiríM
- 82Marián PišojaM
- 9Daniel ŠmigaF
- 88Tomáš PoznarF
- 14Stanley KanuF
- 20Frank AppiahM
- 10Stanislav PetrutaM
- 26Michal CupakM
- 64Stepan BachurekG
- 21David GrygeraD
- 16Prince EmmanuelM
- 4Tom UlbrichM
- 35Jakub MarkovičG
- 3Tomáš HolešD
- 4David ZimaD
- 27Tomáš VlčekD
- 14Samuel IsifeM
- 16David MosesM
- 30Wiktor NowakM
- 15Mubarak SuleimanM
- 20Emmanuel AyaosiF
- 17Lukáš ProvodF
- 25Tomáš ChorýF
- 13Mojmír ChytilF
- 23Michal SadílekM
- 42Mikuláš KonečnýD
- 1Ondřej KolářG
- 29Nazar DomchakG
- 41Miguel SolarteD
- 47David BarcotD
- 6Ange N'GuessanD
- 22Toumani DiakiteM
Form going into Zlin vs Slavia Praha
Zlin
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to FK Jablonec20 September 2026
- L1-2Hradec Králové13 September 2026
- L1-3Teplice6 September 2026
- L2-3away to Zbrojovka Brno29 August 2026
- L0-1Slovan Liberec22 August 2026
Slavia Praha
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Plzen20 September 2026
- W2-0away to Teplice13 September 2026
- L2-3Lens10 September 2026
- W4-0Zbrojovka Brno5 September 2026
- W3-0away to Sparta Praha30 August 2026
What these results say
- Zlin did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Zlin conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Zlin scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slavia Praha scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Slavia Praha won 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Slavia Praha had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Zlin | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 3 |
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 8 | +28 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zlin vs Slavia Praha
- 14 March 2026Zlin 1–3 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 29 October 2025Zlin 0–4 Slavia PrahaCup
- 18 October 2025Slavia Praha 0–0 ZlinCzech Liga
- 14 February 2024Zlin 1–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 6 August 2023Slavia Praha 2–1 ZlinCzech Liga
- 13 November 2022Zlin 0–4 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Zlin and Slavia Praha
Zlin
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Slavia Praha
GoalsAssists
- M. Chytil61
- E. Ayaosi53
- W. Nowak51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slavia Praha won 1–0 at Zlin. The model had made a win for Slavia Praha its most likely outcome, at 74%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: Emmanuel Ayaosi 16' for Slavia Praha. On expected goals it finished 0.18–2.17.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Zlin a 82.9% chance to finish in the bottom three: 72.8% after a win, 82.5% after a draw, 84.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 84.2%, 1.3 points higher than before the match.
For Slavia Praha the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 92.4% going in: 93.5% after a win, 89.0% after a draw, 86.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 93.5%, 1.1 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Czech Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Zlin v Slavia Praha has moved
First published on 25 Sep at 14% / 21% / 65% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 10% / 16% / 74%: the biggest move is Slavia Praha's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Zlin win10%▼ −4
- Draw16%▼ −5
- Slavia Praha win74%▲ +9
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.