Hradec Králové vs Artis Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Hradec Králové 2-4 Artis.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Hradec Králové, 25% draw, 15% Artis — fair odds of 1.67, 4.00 and 6.67.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Hradec Králové at 60%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hradec Králové vs Artis
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12Adam ZadražilG
- 7Jakub UhrinčaťD
- 5Filip ČihákD
- 25František ČechD
- 28Jakub KuceraM
- 16Vladimír DaridaM
- 11Samuel DancákM
- 27Daniel TrubačM
- 19Tom SlončíkF
- 17Ondřej MihálikF
- 70Tomáš ČvančaraF
- 4Tomáš PetrášekD
- 58Adam VlkanovaM
- 9Matěj ValentaM
- 24Abdullahi UmarF
- 33Rodrigo AbajasD
- 1Patrik VízekG
- 20Matyas VagnerG
- 3Filip MielkeD
- 30Juraj ChvátalM
- 29Richard KašíkG
- 33Neil GlossoaD
- 4Dominik PlechatýD
- 34Karel PojeznýD
- 15Emmanuel FullyD
- 36Sebastian BoháčM
- 9Albert LabíkM
- 7Alexis AlegueM
- 6Quadri AdediranM
- 90Youssoupha SanyangM
- 12El Hadji Latyr NdiayeF
- 27Dominik PreislerD
- 11Issa FombaM
- 2Stepan HarazimD
- 26Martin PospisilM
- 31Jiri BorekG
- 5Michal JeřábekD
- 21Adam CarlénM
- 8Sacha KomljenovicM
- 20Dominik SarapataM
Form going into Hradec Králové vs Artis
Hradec Králové
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Teplice20 September 2026
- W2-1away to Zlin13 September 2026
- D0-0Plzen9 September 2026
- W2-1Sparta Praha6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Zbrojovka Brno2 September 2026
Artis
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Slovan Liberec19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Zbrojovka Brno12 September 2026
- L0-3Plzen5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Pardubice29 August 2026
- L0-4Sparta Praha22 August 2026
What these results say
- Hradec Králové conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Artis failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Artis conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Artis had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Artis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hradec Králové vs Artis
- 22 May 2021Hradec Králové 1–1 ArtisFNL
- 6 March 2021Artis 2–1 Hradec KrálovéFNL
- 16 May 2020Hradec Králové 1–1 ArtisFriendlies Clubs
- 8 March 2020Hradec Králové 1–1 ArtisFNL
- 3 August 2019Artis 3–3 Hradec KrálovéFNL
Leading scorers: Hradec Králové and Artis
Hradec Králové
GoalsAssists
- T. Čvančara41
- T. Slončík40
Artis
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Artis won 4–2 at Hradec Králové. The model had leaned towards a win for Hradec Králové at 60% and given a win for Artis 15%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goals: V. Darida (penalty) 12' for Hradec Králové, A. Alegue 33' for Artis, E. H. Ndiaye 56' for Artis, N. Glossoa 75' for Artis, F. Cihak 76' for Hradec Králové, S. Harazim 88' for Artis. Sent off: J. Kucera (Hradec Králové) 60'. On expected goals it finished 1.76–1.33.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hradec Králové a 12.9% chance to finish in the top four: 14.6% after a win, 8.5% after a draw, 7.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 7.6%, 5.3 points lower than before the match.
For Artis the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 87.0% going in: 77.5% after a win, 86.4% after a draw, 89.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 77.5%, 9.5 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Czech Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Hradec Králové v Artis has moved
First published on 26 Sep at 54% / 27% / 19% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 60% / 25% / 15%: the biggest move is Hradec Králové's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Hradec Králové win60%▲ +6
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Artis win15%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.