Hradec Králové
vs
Artis
Czech Liga prediction
Our model says: Hradec Králové 1–0 Artis
The model makes it 54% Hradec Králové, 27% draw, 19% Artis — fair odds of 1.85, 3.70 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (14%).
Expected goals: Hradec Králové 1.86, Artis 0.67.
Both teams to score: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: High.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Hradec Králové vs Artis
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hradec Králové at 54% here. Across 2837 settled matches, 675 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Hradec Králové vs Artis
Hradec Králové
- L0-2Teplice20 September 2026
- W2-1away to Zlin13 September 2026
- D0-0Plzen9 September 2026
- W2-1Sparta Praha6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Zbrojovka Brno2 September 2026
Artis
- D0-0Slovan Liberec19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Zbrojovka Brno12 September 2026
- L0-3Plzen5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Pardubice29 August 2026
- L0-4Sparta Praha22 August 2026
What these results say
- Hradec Králové conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Artis failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Artis conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Artis had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hradec Králové | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Artis | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Hradec Králové vs Artis
- 22 May 2021Hradec Králové 1–1 ArtisFNL
- 6 March 2021Artis 2–1 Hradec KrálovéFNL
- 16 May 2020Hradec Králové 1–1 ArtisFriendlies Clubs
- 8 March 2020Hradec Králové 1–1 ArtisFNL
- 3 August 2019Artis 3–3 Hradec KrálovéFNL
Leading scorers: Hradec Králové and Artis
Hradec Králové
- T. Slončík3 goals
Artis
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Hradec Králové carry a model rating of 6.69 against 6.25 for Artis. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.86 goals for Hradec Králové and 0.67 for Artis. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Hradec Králové rate 0.70 in attack and 0.99 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Artis rate 0.53 and 1.75.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Hradec Králové a 0.2% chance of the title and Artis 0%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1326 correct results out of 2837 settled predictions (47%), with 271 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hradec Králové the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.86 expected goals for Hradec Králové against 0.67 for Artis. Hradec Králové's attack/defence rating is 0.7/0.99 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/1.75 for Artis.