16 August 2026, 11:30 UTC

Zenit vs Dynamo Premier League prediction & result

Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Zenit 3-0 Dynamo.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% Zenit, 19% draw, 16% Dynamo — fair odds of 1.54, 5.26 and 6.25.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Zenit at 65%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Zenit99%Draw1%Dynamo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

•Aleksandr Sobolev
27'
⚽A. Sobolev (pen)
29'
⚽A. Sobolevassist: M. Glushenkov
33'
🔁Ninoout: K. Andrade
46'
Kevin Andrade
59'
60'
🔁Y. Gladyshevout: I. Sergeev
Maksim Glushenkov
69'
🔁A. Sobolevout: N. Alip
71'
🔁Jhon Jhonout: Felipe Augusto
71'
73'
🔁D. Fominout: A. Miranchuk
73'
🔁Arthur Gomesout: V. Okishor
🔁Pedrinhoout: Douglas Santos
78'
80'
Juan Cáceres
🔁Wendelout: D. Kondakov
83'
85'
🔁J. Caceresout: D. Skopintsev
86'
David Ricardo
⚽M. Glushenkov
87'

Match stats — Zenit vs Dynamo

44%Possession56%
3Shots13
3On target3
1Corners7

Line-ups

Zenit 4-2-3-1
  • 16D. AdamovG
  • 31Gustavo MantuanD
  • 78I. DiveevD
  • 33NinoD
  • 66R. VegaD
  • 5W. BarriosM
  • 8WendelM
  • 10M. GlushenkovM
  • 20PedrinhoM
  • 14Jhon JhonM
  • 7A. SobolevF
Substitutes
  • 71D. OdoevskiyG
  • 57B. MoskvichevG
  • 3Douglas SantosD
  • 28N. AlipD
  • 15V. KaravaevD
  • 82S. VolkovD
  • 25K. AndradeD
  • 21A. ErokhinM
  • 61D. KondakovM
Coach: Sergey Semak
Dynamo 4-3-3
  • 1K. RasulovG
  • 4J. CaceresD
  • 55M. OsipenkoD
  • 57David RicardoD
  • 8RubensD
  • 74D. FominM
  • 60T. MarinkinM
  • 10BitelloM
  • 91Y. GladyshevF
  • 70K. TyukavinF
  • 11Arthur GomesF
Substitutes
  • 31I. LeshchukG
  • 51R. DzhioevG
  • 7D. SkopintsevD
  • 56L. ZaydenzalD
  • 6R. FernandezD
  • 5M. MajstorovicD
  • 21A. MiranchukM
  • 24L. ChavezM
  • 88V. OkishorM
Coach: Sandro Schwarz

Form going into Zenit vs Dynamo

Zenit

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Rodina Moskva9 August 2026

Dynamo

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1Dinamo Makhachkala9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Zenit1410133215+1731
2Dynamo1410132313+1031

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zenit vs Dynamo

  • 22 March 2026Dynamo 1–3 ZenitPremier League
  • 3 February 2026Zenit 2–1 DynamoFriendlies Clubs
  • 27 November 2025Dynamo 0–1 ZenitCup
  • 5 November 2025Zenit 1–3 DynamoCup
  • 26 October 2025Zenit 2–1 DynamoPremier League

Leading scorers: Zenit and Dynamo

Zenit

GoalsAssists

  • M. Glushenkov105
  • A. Sobolev102

Dynamo

GoalsAssists

  • K. Tyukavin71
  • V. Okishor32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Zenit beat Dynamo 3–0. The model had made a win for Zenit its most likely outcome, at 65%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: A. Sobolev (penalty) 29' for Zenit, A. Sobolev 33' for Zenit, M. Glushenkov 87' for Zenit.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.