16 August 2026, 14:00 UTC

Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala Premier League prediction & result

Samara Arena, Samara
Full time1 – 4

Final score: Krylia Sovetov 1-4 Dinamo Makhachkala.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Krylia Sovetov, 27% draw, 43% Dinamo Makhachkala — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Makhachkala at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Krylia Sovetov0%Draw1%Dinamo Makhachkala99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽A. Alarcon
9'
Mutalip Alibekov
Kirill Pechenin
16'
22'
⚽N. Glushkov
⚽I. Oleynikov
27'
46'
🔁E. Smelovout: G. Agalarov
Dominik Oroz
51'
🔁S. Babkinout: Y. Gorshkov
62'
🔁A. Rahmanovicout: C. Geoffrey
62'
67'
🔁Miroout: D. Lesovoy
🔁M. Kramaricout: D. Fernandez
72'
🔁N. Rasskazovout: D. Makarov
72'
77'
⚽D. Lesovoy
🔁D. Orozout: M. Banjac
78'
82'
Daniil Lesovoy
Chinedu Geoffrey
83'
85'
🔁M. Azziout: A. Sandrachuk
86'
Gamid Agalarov
Fernando Costanza
90'
90+4'
🔁H. Mrezigueout: S. Kagermazov
90+4'
🔁T. Sundukovout: A. Dzhabrailov
90'
⚽G. Agalarovassist: N. Glushkov

Match stats — Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala

64%Possession36%
20Shots14
5On target8
9Corners5

Line-ups

Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
  • 30S. PesjakovG
  • 22Fernando CostanzaD
  • 5D. OrozD
  • 47S. BozhinD
  • 2K. PecheninD
  • 6S. BabkinM
  • 8M. VityugovM
  • 15N. RasskazovM
  • 10M. KramaricM
  • 19I. OleynikovM
  • 11A. RahmanovicF
Substitutes
  • 80N. KokarevG
  • 39E. FrolovG
  • 72D. FernandezD
  • 18I. LepskiiD
  • 4Y. GorshkovD
  • 3T. GaldamesD
  • 7M. BanjacM
  • 20K. StolbovM
  • 26J. MarinM
Coach: Sergey Bulatov
Dinamo Makhachkala 5-3-2
  • 39T. MagomedovG
  • 22M. AzziD
  • 43I. AkhmedovD
  • 99M. AlibekovD
  • 24A. AlarconD
  • 77T. SundukovD
  • 16H. MrezigueM
  • 6M. ApshatsevM
  • 47N. GlushkovM
  • 11MiroF
  • 52E. SmelovF
Substitutes
  • 1D. VolkG
  • 13S. KagermazovD
  • 72A. SandrachukD
  • 21A. DzhabrailovM
  • 9R. MagomedovM
  • 19K. ZinovichM
  • 88D. LesovoyM
  • 25G. AgalarovF
  • 7H. MastouriF
Coach: Vadim Evseev

Form going into Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala

Krylia Sovetov

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2Baltika8 August 2026

Dinamo Makhachkala

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Dynamo9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Krylia Sovetov144641920-118
11Dinamo Makhachkala145181726-916

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala

  • 4 August 2026Dinamo Makhachkala 1–2 Krylia SovetovCup
  • 8 March 2026Krylia Sovetov 2–0 Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League
  • 1 November 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 2–0 Krylia SovetovPremier League
  • 15 March 2025Dinamo Makhachkala 4–0 Krylia SovetovPremier League
  • 2 October 2024Krylia Sovetov 3–3 Dinamo MakhachkalaCup

Leading scorers: Krylia Sovetov and Dinamo Makhachkala

Krylia Sovetov

GoalsAssists

  • A. Rahmanović50

Dinamo Makhachkala

GoalsAssists

  • G. Agalarov50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dinamo Makhachkala won 4–1 at Krylia Sovetov. The model had made a win for Dinamo Makhachkala its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Alarcon 5' for Dinamo Makhachkala, N. Glushkov 22' for Dinamo Makhachkala, I. Oleynikov 27' for Krylia Sovetov, D. Lesovoy 77' for Dinamo Makhachkala, G. Agalarov 90' for Dinamo Makhachkala. Sent off: Chinedu Geoffrey (Krylia Sovetov) 83'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.