Radnik Surdulica
vs
Vojvodina
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Radnik Surdulica 1–2 Vojvodina
The model makes it 27% Radnik Surdulica, 27% draw, 46% Vojvodina — fair odds of 3.70, 3.70 and 2.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Radnik Surdulica 1.15, Vojvodina 1.69.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Edge to Vojvodina: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Radnik Surdulica's rating is built from 52 Serbian SuperLiga matches and Vojvodina's from 52, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 700 matches.
Key facts
- Radnik Surdulica are 6th on 23 points from 15 games; Vojvodina are 2nd on 32 points from 15 games — Super Liga.
- Radnik Surdulica have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to OFK Beograd.
- Vojvodina have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to FK Crvena Zvezda.
- Last 6 meetings: Vojvodina 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 9 August 2026, ended Vojvodina 2–1 Radnik Surdulica.
More Serbian SuperLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Radnik Surdulica vs Vojvodina
Has the model earned this number?
Vojvodina at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Radnik Surdulica vs Vojvodina
Radnik Surdulica
Super Liga
- W2-1OFK Beograd8 November 2026
- W1-0away to Mladost Lucani2 November 2026
- L0-1away to Radnicki 192323 October 2026
- W3-0Radnicki NIS16 October 2026
- L0-1away to IMT Novi Beograd10 October 2026
Vojvodina
Super Liga
- L0-1FK Crvena Zvezda8 November 2026
- W2-0away to OFK Beograd1 November 2026
- D1-1away to Mladost Lucani24 October 2026
- W2-0Radnicki 192317 October 2026
- W4-1away to Radnicki NIS11 October 2026
What these results say
- Vojvodina scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Vojvodina had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Radnik Surdulica | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 23 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 13 | +17 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Radnik Surdulica
Chance to finish in the top six · 60% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Radnik Surdulica vs Vojvodina
- 9 August 2026Vojvodina 2–1 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 4 May 2026Radnik Surdulica 1–4 VojvodinaSuper Liga
- 21 November 2025Radnik Surdulica 3–1 VojvodinaSuper Liga
- 20 July 2025Vojvodina 2–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 29 March 2024Radnik Surdulica 0–4 VojvodinaSuper Liga
- 22 October 2023Vojvodina 3–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Radnik Surdulica and Vojvodina
Radnik Surdulica
GoalsAssists
- V. Bogdanović61
- M. Novaković33
Vojvodina
GoalsAssists
- D. Zukić81
- N. Mulahusejnović44
- L. Ranđelović37
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Radnik Surdulica a 0% chance of the title and Vojvodina 0.3%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Vojvodina the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.15 expected goals for Radnik Surdulica against 1.69 for Vojvodina. Radnik Surdulica's attack/defence rating is 0.56/1.7 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.77/1.29 for Vojvodina.
How the model reaches 46% for Vojvodina to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Vojvodina to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, Radnik Surdulica's ratings add 7 points and Vojvodina's ratings add 8 points, which lands on the published 46%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage31%−5
- Radnik Surdulica's ratings38%+7
- Vojvodina's ratings46%+8
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Radnik Surdulica at home · Vojvodina away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Radnik Surdulica 15, Vojvodina 15.
Radnik Surdulica score most often in the 31–45 minute window (6 goals); Vojvodina have let in 0 there.
Vojvodina score most often in the 46–60 minute window (7 goals); Radnik Surdulica have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Radnik Surdulica
- at Macva6 Dec · Super Ligawin 40%
- at Novi Pazar6 Feb · Super Ligawin 33%
- vs Železničar Pančevo13 Feb · Super Ligawin 30%
- at Cukaricki20 Feb · Super Ligawin 31%
Vojvodina
- vs Novi Pazar6 Dec · Super Ligawin 61%
- at Železničar Pančevo6 Feb · Super Ligawin 34%
- vs Cukaricki13 Feb · Super Ligawin 59%
- at Zemun20 Feb · Super Ligawin 67%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.