Zbrojovka Brno
vs
Zlin
Czech Liga prediction
The model makes it 61% Zbrojovka Brno, 22% draw, 17% Zlin — fair odds of 1.64, 4.55 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Expected goals: Zbrojovka Brno 1.97, Zlin 0.95.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Zbrojovka Brno
- L0-1Slovan Liberec7 August 2026
- D1-1away to Plzen1 August 2026
- W3-1Sparta Praha25 July 2026
Zlin
- L0-2Bohemians 19058 August 2026
- L1-3away to Sparta Praha31 July 2026
- L0-1Baník Ostrava25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 16 | Zlin | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Zbrojovka Brno vs Zlin
- 11 April 2025Zlin 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoFNL
- 1 September 2024Zbrojovka Brno 1–2 ZlinFNL
- 28 May 2023Zbrojovka Brno 0–0 ZlinCzech Liga
- 4 March 2023Zbrojovka Brno 1–1 ZlinCzech Liga
- 10 September 2022Zlin 2–3 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
- 15 January 2022Zbrojovka Brno 3–3 ZlinFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers
Zbrojovka Brno
- D. Vašulín2 goals
Zlin
No league goals recorded yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Zbrojovka Brno carry a model rating of 6.59 against 6.39 for Zlin. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Zbrojovka Brno W-D-L; Zlin L-L-L.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.97 goals for Zbrojovka Brno and 0.95 for Zlin. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Zbrojovka Brno rate 0.74 in attack and 1.24 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Zlin rate 0.55 and 1.41.
That points to 56% for over two and a half goals and 53% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 350 correct results out of 734 settled predictions (48%), with 70 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Zbrojovka Brno the highest probability at 61%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.97 expected goals for Zbrojovka Brno against 0.95 for Zlin. Zbrojovka Brno's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.24 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.41 for Zlin.