29 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Zbrojovka Brno vs Zlin Czech Liga prediction & result

Brno
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Zbrojovka Brno 3-2 Zlin.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Zbrojovka Brno, 28% draw, 23% Zlin — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Zbrojovka Brno at 49% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽D. Vasulinassist: A. Vanicek
23'
30'
Miloš Kopečný
46'
🔁M. Cupakout: F. Appiah
46'
🔁T. Poznarout: D. Smiga
🔁A. Vanicekout: M. Rymarenko
56'
58'
⚽M. Fukalaassist: M. Pisoja
⚽M. Kopecny (OG)
59'
🔁T. Vachousekout: L. Saal
70'
🔁S. Langerout: L. Penxa
70'
70'
🔁M. Kopecnyout: S. Petruta
76'
🔁T. Ulbrichout: T. Hellebrand
🔁J. Janetzkyout: J. Zmrhal
80'
🔁D. Vasulinout: O. Velich
80'
80'
🔁P. Mbatshiout: T. Fojtu
86'
⚽J. Cerninassist: M. Pisoja
90+2'
Frank Appiah 
90+10'
Tomas Hellebrand
90+7'
•Tomas Hellebrand
⚽F. Vedralassist: A. Dante
90'

Match stats — Zbrojovka Brno vs Zlin

53%Possession47%
9Shots11
3On target3
6Corners4
1.02xG0.9

Goals against chances

Zbrojovka Brno3 from 1.02 xGmore than the chances were worth
Zlin2 from 0.90 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Zbrojovka Brno 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. HrdinaG
  • 39J. KlimaD
  • 26F. VedralD
  • 3KakaD
  • 44A. DanteD
  • 68J. JanetzkyM
  • 8P. CavosM
  • 14T. VachousekM
  • 7S. LangerM
  • 10A. VanicekM
  • 15D. VasulinF
Substitutes
  • 78O. ProdelalG
  • 25T. BreckaD
  • 18D. GranecnyD
  • 4E. HunalD
  • 17J. ZmrhalM
  • 20L. SaalM
  • 23P. SevcikM
  • 11M. RymarenkoF
  • 6L. PenxaD
Coach: Martin Svedik
Zlin 4-2-3-1
  • 17S. DostalG
  • 23M. KopecnyD
  • 24J. CerninD
  • 28J. KolarD
  • 22M. FukalaD
  • 19C. NombilM
  • 45P. MbatshiM
  • 82M. PisojaM
  • 26M. CupakM
  • 4T. UlbrichM
  • 88T. PoznarF
Substitutes
  • 34M. KnoblochG
  • 31L. BartosakD
  • 39A. KrapkaD
  • 35O. KukuckaD
  • 21D. GrygeraD
  • 37T. FojtuM
  • 20F. AppiahM
  • 10S. PetrutaM
  • 53T. HellebrandM
Coach: Bronislav Cervenka

Form going into Zbrojovka Brno vs Zlin

Zbrojovka Brno

  • W2-0away to Teplice23 August 2026
  • L0-1Slovan Liberec7 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Plzen1 August 2026
  • W3-1Sparta Praha25 July 2026

Zlin

  • L0-1Slovan Liberec22 August 2026

What these results say

  • Zbrojovka Brno scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Zbrojovka Brno conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Zbrojovka Brno had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Zbrojovka Brno95131212016
16Zlin9018819-111

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Zbrojovka Brno vs Zlin

  • 11 April 2025Zlin 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoFNL
  • 1 September 2024Zbrojovka Brno 1–2 ZlinFNL
  • 28 May 2023Zbrojovka Brno 0–0 ZlinCzech Liga
  • 4 March 2023Zbrojovka Brno 1–1 ZlinCzech Liga
  • 10 September 2022Zlin 2–3 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga
  • 15 January 2022Zbrojovka Brno 3–3 ZlinFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Zbrojovka Brno and Zlin

Zbrojovka Brno

  • D. Vašulín4 goals
  • A. Vaníček3 goals1 assist

Zlin

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.