29 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

Pardubice vs Artis Czech Liga prediction & result

Stadion Arnosta Kostala, Pardubice
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Pardubice 1-2 Artis.

Before kick-off the model made it 60% Pardubice, 23% draw, 17% Artis — fair odds of 1.67, 4.35 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Pardubice at 60% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Pardubice0%Draw6%Artis94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽T. Boledovic
16'
33'
Neil Glossoa
Emmanuel Godwin
45+1'
Michal Hlavatý
45'
46'
🔁D. Preislerout: E. Fully
46'
🔁Papaleleout: A. Alegue
46'
🔁A. Carlenout: A. Petrak
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré
53'
🔁V. Samuelout: V. Drchal
58'
63'
🔁S. Komljenovicout: M. Pospisil
72'
⚽A. Alegueassist: N. Glossoa
🔁S. Simekout: G. Botos
73'
🔁D. Smekalout: Kahuan Vinicius
73'
80'
🔁N. Glossoaout: S. Harazim
83'
⚽A. Labik
🔁M. Traoreout: R. Mahuta
86'
🔁M. Hlavatyout: A. Tanko
86'

Match stats — Pardubice vs Artis

46%Possession54%
18Shots10
6On target4
5Corners3
1.81xG0.8

Goals against chances

Pardubice1 from 1.81 xGless than the chances were worth
Artis2 from 0.80 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Pardubice 3-4-3
  • 46V. NeumanG
  • 12J. TredlD
  • 43J. NoslinD
  • 21M. TraoreD
  • 15E. GodwinM
  • 8S. SimekM
  • 16T. JelinekM
  • 40T. BoledovicM
  • 19M. HlavatyF
  • 9D. SmekalF
  • 35V. SamuelF
Substitutes
  • 1J. SerakG
  • 25R. MahutaD
  • 92B. SlyubykD
  • 90G. BotosM
  • 6M. IchaD
  • 7D. SimonM
  • 77R. SaarmaM
  • 11J. ZimaM
  • 17V. DrchalF
Coach: Jan Trousil
Artis 4-2-3-1
  • 32T. StoppenG
  • 33N. GlossoaD
  • 4D. PlechatyD
  • 34K. PojeznyD
  • 27D. PreislerD
  • 21A. CarlenM
  • 9A. LabikM
  • 11I. FombaM
  • 8S. KomljenovicM
  • 17PapaleleM
  • 12E. H. Ndiaye
Substitutes
  • 31J. BorekG
  • 28D. SimekD
  • 2S. HarazimD
  • 15E. FullyD
  • 26M. PospisilM
  • 22J. FulnekD
  • 7A. AlegueF
  • 14A. PetrakM
  • 10D. SamekM
Coach: Roman Nadvornik

Form going into Pardubice vs Artis

Pardubice

  • L1-3away to Sigma Olomouc23 August 2026

Artis

  • L0-4Sparta Praha22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Pardubice9225914-58
14Artis9126718-115

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Pardubice vs Artis

  • 17 June 2020Artis 1–1 PardubiceFNL
  • 28 September 2019Pardubice 2–0 ArtisFNL
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.