Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slovan Liberec 2-0 Hradec Králové.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Slovan Liberec, 29% draw, 33% Hradec Králové — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slovan Liberec at 38% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 40T. KoubekG
- 18J. KozeluhD
- 14A. DrakpeD
- 29L. HulkaD
- 27A. KayondoD
- 60F. FayeM
- 8L. MasopustM
- 12V. StranskyM
- 5P. HodousF
- 9L. MasekF
- 19V. KusejF
- 33L. PeslG
- 42M. BarcalG
- 3J. MikulaD
- 16A. BuzekM
- 24P. DulayM
- 7A. SoliuM
- 10Q. ZybaM
- 15M. LexaM
- 6A. BasiladzeF
- 12A. ZadrazilG
- 7J. UhrincatD
- 5F. CihakD
- 25F. CechD
- 2D. LudvicekM
- 16V. DaridaM
- 9M. ValentaM
- 26D. HorakM
- 27D. TrubacF
- 19T. SloncikF
- 10M. van BurenF
- 1P. VizekG
- 20M. VagnerG
- 3F. MielkeD
- 33R. AbajasD
- 30J. ChvatalM
- 6E. NetoM
- 58A. VlkanovaM
- 11S. DancakM
- 14J. HodekF
Form going into Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové
Slovan Liberec
- W1-0away to Zlin22 August 2026
Hradec Králové
- L1-2Panathinaikos27 August 2026
- D2-2away to Panathinaikos20 August 2026
- L0-1away to Beşiktaş13 August 2026
- W2-1Baník Ostrava9 August 2026
- L0-1Beşiktaş6 August 2026
What these results say
- Hradec Králové conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Hradec Králové failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 20 |
| 9 | Hradec Králové | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slovan Liberec vs Hradec Králové
- 13 May 2026Hradec Králové 1–0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 28 February 2026Slovan Liberec 0–1 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 27 September 2025Hradec Králové 2–3 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 13 April 2025Hradec Králové 0–2 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 9 November 2024Slovan Liberec 0–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 21 April 2024Slovan Liberec 0–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Slovan Liberec and Hradec Králové
Slovan Liberec
- P. Dulay3 goals1 assist
- L. Mašek3 goals
Hradec Králové
- T. Slončík3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.