2 August 2026, 13:00 UTC

Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav Czech Liga prediction & result

Andruv stadion, Olomouc
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Sigma Olomouc 2-2 Mlada Boleslav.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Sigma Olomouc, 23% draw, 26% Mlada Boleslav — fair odds of 1.96, 4.35 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sigma Olomouc at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sigma Olomouc6%Draw90%Mlada Boleslav4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
⚽S. Johnassist: J. Klima
⚽D. Tkacassist: D. Janosek
34'
🔁S. Noumbissieout: J. Sip
53'
67'
🔁J. Klimaout: L. Letenay
67'
🔁D. Langhamerout: F. Spatenka
67'
🔁J. Kolarikout: M. Subert
🔁D. Janosekout: M. Soldo
68'
🔁D. Tkacout: J. Dembe
68'
81'
⚽M. Subertassist: S. John
86'
Solomon John
🔁A. Ghaliout: M. Mikulenka
86'
⚽V. Sejk
87'
90+3'
🔁S. Johnout: J. Buryan

Match stats — Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav

52%Possession48%
18Shots11
8On target5
8Corners6
2.48xG1.08

Goals against chances

Sigma Olomouc2 from 2.48 xGabout what the chances were worth
Mlada Boleslav2 from 1.08 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Sigma Olomouc 3-4-3
  • 91J. KoutnyG
  • 2A. SyllaD
  • 21J. KralD
  • 3L. LurvinkD
  • 70A. GhaliM
  • 88P. BarathM
  • 7M. BeranM
  • 26S. NoumbissieM
  • 39D. JanosekF
  • 10V. SejkF
  • 24D. TkacF
Substitutes
  • 98M. HruskaG
  • 33M. MalyD
  • 14M. SoldoM
  • 20D. GrgicM
  • 18J. FialaF
  • 80V. ZahradnicekM
  • 17J. DembeF
  • 19D. Barat
  • 8J. SpacilM
Coach: Pavel Hapal
Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
  • 59J. FloderG
  • 13D. DonatD
  • 44O. KarafiatD
  • 3M. KralikD
  • 11M. HybsD
  • 19D. KozelM
  • 76J. Zika
  • 20S. JohnM
  • 28D. LanghamerM
  • 49J. KolarikM
  • 23J. KlimaF
Substitutes
  • 42V. VorelG
  • 9L. LetenayF
  • 70J. BuryanF
  • 24D. MaresD
  • 17F. SpatenkaF
  • 15N. PennerM
  • 21M. Subert
  • 26M. ZachovalD
  • 5J. HarustakD
Coach: Ales Majer

Form going into Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav

Sigma Olomouc

  • L1-2away to FK Jablonec26 July 2026

Mlada Boleslav

  • W4-2away to Artis27 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Sigma Olomouc85121610+616
5Mlada Boleslav7421159+614

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav

  • 2 August 2026Sigma Olomouc 2–2 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
  • 4 April 2026Sigma Olomouc 2–4 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
  • 2 November 2025Mlada Boleslav 1–4 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 15 December 2024Mlada Boleslav 1–3 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga
  • 18 August 2024Sigma Olomouc 3–2 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
  • 16 March 2024Mlada Boleslav 2–1 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Sigma Olomouc and Mlada Boleslav

Sigma Olomouc

  • V. Sejk3 goals2 assists
  • A. Ghali3 goals1 assists
  • P. Baráth3 goals1 assists

Mlada Boleslav

  • M. Šubert5 goals1 assists
  • S. John3 goals3 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.