Zlin
vs
Bohemians 1905
The model makes it 31% Zlin, 25% draw, 44% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 3.23, 4.00 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Zlin 1.35, Bohemians 1905 1.67.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Zlin
- L1-3away to Sparta Praha31 July 2026
- L0-1Baník Ostrava25 July 2026
Bohemians 1905
- D0-0Hradec Králové2 August 2026
- L1-3away to Teplice25 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Zlin | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 13 | Bohemians 1905 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Zlin vs Bohemians 1905
- 11 April 2026Bohemians 1905 2–1 ZlinCzech Liga
- 8 November 2025Zlin 0–1 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 19 May 2024Zlin 1–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 16 March 2024Zlin 2–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 7 October 2023Bohemians 1905 0–0 ZlinCzech Liga
- 26 April 2023Zlin 4–1 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
The two sides
Zlin carry a model rating of 6.47 against 6.72 for Bohemians 1905. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Zlin L-L; Bohemians 1905 L-D.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.35 goals for Zlin and 1.67 for Bohemians 1905. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Zlin rate 0.60 in attack and 1.31 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Bohemians 1905 rate 0.91 and 1.19.
That points to 58% for over two and a half goals and 61% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 207 correct results out of 443 settled predictions (47%), with 42 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Bohemians 1905 the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Zlin against 1.67 for Bohemians 1905. Zlin's attack/defence rating is 0.6/1.31 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.91/1.19 for Bohemians 1905.