SCR Altach
vs
WSG Wattens
The model makes it 53% SCR Altach, 27% draw, 20% WSG Wattens — fair odds of 1.89, 3.70 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (14%).
Expected goals: SCR Altach 1.52, WSG Wattens 0.84.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, under 2.5: 58%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
SCR Altach
- L0-1away to Rapid Vienna2 August 2026
WSG Wattens
- D1-1Sturm Graz1 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SCR Altach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | WSG Wattens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens
- 21 April 2026SCR Altach 0–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 18 April 2026WSG Wattens 2–2 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 7 December 2025WSG Wattens 0–3 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 21 September 2025SCR Altach 1–1 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 26 April 2025SCR Altach 3–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 22 April 2025WSG Wattens 1–0 SCR AltachBundesliga
Leading scorers
SCR Altach
No league goals recorded yet.
WSG Wattens
- M. Olakigbe1 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
SCR Altach carry a model rating of 6.42 against 6.32 for WSG Wattens. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): SCR Altach L; WSG Wattens D.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.52 goals for SCR Altach and 0.84 for WSG Wattens. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
SCR Altach rate 0.62 in attack and 1.47 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; WSG Wattens rate 0.41 and 1.30.
That points to 42% for over two and a half goals and 45% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%).
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour WSG Wattens, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 202 correct results out of 432 settled predictions (47%), with 39 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives SCR Altach the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.52 expected goals for SCR Altach against 0.84 for WSG Wattens. SCR Altach's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.47 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.41/1.3 for WSG Wattens.