Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slovan Liberec 3-0 Mlada Boleslav.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Slovan Liberec, 27% draw, 25% Mlada Boleslav — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slovan Liberec at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav
Line-ups
- 40T. KoubekG
- 17P. JulišD
- 29L. HůlkaD
- 14A. DrakpeD
- 27A. KayondoD
- 8L. MasopustM
- 60F. FayeM
- 24P. DulayM
- 19V. KušejM
- 15M. LexaM
- 9L. MašekF
- 94Venuste BaboulaF
- 18J. KoželuhD
- 3J. MikulaD
- 5P. HodoušD
- 47Jindrich MusilG
- 16A. BužekM
- 33L. PešlG
- 6A. BasiladzeF
- 12V. StránskýM
- 59J. FloderG
- 32F. MatoušekD
- 44O. KarafiátD
- 3M. KrálikD
- 11M. HybšD
- 76Jan ZikaM
- 13D. DonátM
- 21M. ŠubertM
- 28D. LanghamerM
- 20S. JohnM
- 23J. KlímaF
- 77D. PechM
- 49J. KoláříkM
- 38F. KolarD
- 18M. HavranM
- 14S. GrygarM
- 70J. BuryánF
- 26M. ZachovalD
- 41Jan JinochF
- 5J. HarušťákD
Form going into Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav
Slovan Liberec
Czech Liga
- W2-1away to FK Jablonec6 September 2026
Mlada Boleslav
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Baník Ostrava6 September 2026
- W2-1Slovácko22 August 2026
- D1-1away to Pardubice15 August 2026
- W2-0Sparta Praha8 August 2026
- D2-2away to Sigma Olomouc2 August 2026
What these results say
- Mlada Boleslav went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Mlada Boleslav scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav
- 18 April 2026Slovan Liberec 0–0 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
- 20 July 2025Mlada Boleslav 3–3 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 16 February 2025Slovan Liberec 3–1 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga
- 5 December 2024Mlada Boleslav 1–0 Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
- 29 June 2024Mlada Boleslav 1–0 Slovan LiberecFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Slovan Liberec and Mlada Boleslav
Slovan Liberec
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Mlada Boleslav
GoalsAssists
- M. Šubert71
- J. Klíma41
- S. John33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slovan Liberec beat Mlada Boleslav 3–0. The model had made a win for Slovan Liberec its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Vasil Kušej 20' for Slovan Liberec, Lukas Masek 55' for Slovan Liberec, Vojtech Stransky 66' for Slovan Liberec.
How the call on Slovan Liberec v Mlada Boleslav has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 50% / 27% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 48% / 27% / 25%: the biggest move is Slovan Liberec's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Slovan Liberec win48%▼ −2
- Draw27%=
- Mlada Boleslav win25%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Slovan Liberec's most recent league matches and Mlada Boleslav's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.