Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza NB I prediction & result
Final score: Zalaegerszegi TE 5-1 Nyiregyhaza.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Zalaegerszegi TE, 28% draw, 33% Nyiregyhaza — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Hungarian NB I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Zalaegerszegi TE at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1B. Gundel-TakácsG
- 8A. CsonkaD
- 13T. PeñalbaD
- 33Antonio DiogoD
- 18CalderónD
- 74B. BabosM
- 30F. AmatoM
- 6E. KujovićM
- 23MaxM
- 9Matheus MachadoF
- 7Danylo KrevsunF
- 32L. AlfonsoF
- 2Aiden Joshua HarangiD
- 10B. KissM
- 21T. MaiganaF
- 4J. PerazaD
- 77Arthur HenriqueF
- 47Q. TchicamboudM
- 17Teixeira GuilhermeF
- 3Fernando José Vera GarcíaD
- 57M. DalaG
- 24V. JovanovD
- 39R. ŽikovićD
- 31L. KatonaD
- 66B. BenczenleitnerD
- 8Zsombor HosM
- 6Y. TomaM
- 12M. KovácsM
- 70M. KatonaM
- 9M. KvasinaF
- 23M. RegžaF
- 99Á. AlaxaiD
- 29J. BatoumF
- 25S. IngolitschD
- 74D. KaczvinszkiD
- 55B. KatonaM
- 10B. MannerM
- 26Ž. MedvedF
- 21Z. VukkM
- 22M. MolnarG
Form going into Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza
Zalaegerszegi TE
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Ujpest20 September 2026
- W1-0Puskas Academy6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Budapest Honved29 August 2026
- L0-3away to Gyori ETO FC23 August 2026
- L0-1Ferencvarosi TC17 August 2026
Nyiregyhaza
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Ferencvarosi TC20 September 2026
- L2-3away to Vasas4 September 2026
- D1-1Paks29 August 2026
- L1-2away to MTK Budapest22 August 2026
- W2-1Kisvarda FC15 August 2026
What these results say
- Zalaegerszegi TE failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Zalaegerszegi TE conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Nyiregyhaza scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Nyiregyhaza conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Nyiregyhaza.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
| 12 | Nyiregyhaza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza
- 25 April 2026Nyiregyhaza 2–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 1 February 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 0–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 4 October 2025Nyiregyhaza 3–1 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 25 May 2025Nyiregyhaza 0–0 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 1 April 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 2–0 NyiregyhazaMagyar Kupa
Leading scorers: Zalaegerszegi TE and Nyiregyhaza
Zalaegerszegi TE
GoalsAssists
- Arthur Henrique30
Nyiregyhaza
GoalsAssists
- M. Kvasina41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Zalaegerszegi TE beat Nyiregyhaza 5–1. The model had made a win for Zalaegerszegi TE its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Matyas Katona 10' for Nyiregyhaza, Matheus Machado 49' for Zalaegerszegi TE, Fabricio Amato (penalty) 54' for Zalaegerszegi TE, Danylo Krevsun (penalty) 80' for Zalaegerszegi TE, Arthur Henrique Marques Machado 90+1' for Zalaegerszegi TE, Arthur Henrique Marques Machado 90+5' for Zalaegerszegi TE. On expected goals it finished 3.29–0.48.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Zalaegerszegi TE a 65.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 58.9% after a win, 67.4% after a draw, 73.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 58.9%, 6.8 points lower than before the match.
For Nyiregyhaza the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 49.4% going in: 41.3% after a win, 50.6% after a draw, 55.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 55.7%, 6.3 points higher than before the match.
Read from our NB I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Zalaegerszegi TE v Nyiregyhaza has moved
First published on 27 Sep at 37% / 29% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 39% / 28% / 33%: the biggest move is Zalaegerszegi TE's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Zalaegerszegi TE win39%▲ +2
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Nyiregyhaza win33%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.