Gyori ETO FC
vs
Puskas Academy
NB I prediction
Our model says: Gyori ETO FC 1–0 Puskas Academy
The model makes it 45% Gyori ETO FC, 29% draw, 26% Puskas Academy — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Gyori ETO FC 1.69, Puskas Academy 0.99.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gyori ETO FC at 45% here. Across 2888 settled matches, 1330 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy
Gyori ETO FC
- W2-1away to MTK Budapest20 September 2026
- W3-2Budapest Honved6 September 2026
- L0-3Ferencvarosi TC3 September 2026
- D1-1away to Kisvarda FC30 August 2026
- W3-0Zalaegerszegi TE23 August 2026
Puskas Academy
- W3-1Budapest Honved18 September 2026
- L0-1away to Zalaegerszegi TE6 September 2026
- L1-2Ferencvarosi TC30 August 2026
- W1-0away to Vasas22 August 2026
- W3-2Paks16 August 2026
What these results say
- Gyori ETO FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gyori ETO FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Gyori ETO FC had three goals or more.
- Puskas Academy scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Puskas Academy conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyori ETO FC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 15 |
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy
- 10 April 2026Puskas Academy 1–4 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 20 December 2025Gyori ETO FC 2–0 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 20 September 2025Puskas Academy 0–2 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 12 April 2025Gyori ETO FC 2–0 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 7 December 2024Puskas Academy 0–3 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 4 December 2024Gyori ETO FC 0–2 Puskas AcademyNB I
Leading scorers: Gyori ETO FC and Puskas Academy
Gyori ETO FC
- M. Huszár2 goals1 assists
Puskas Academy
- A. Németh3 goals1 assists
- P. Dárdai2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Gyori ETO FC carry a model rating of 6.66 against 6.48 for Puskas Academy. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.69 goals for Gyori ETO FC and 0.99 for Puskas Academy. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Gyori ETO FC rate 0.78 in attack and 1.14 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Puskas Academy rate 0.61 and 1.30.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Gyori ETO FC a 24.8% chance of the title and Puskas Academy 8.5%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1344 correct results out of 2888 settled predictions (47%), with 275 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gyori ETO FC the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.69 expected goals for Gyori ETO FC against 0.99 for Puskas Academy. Gyori ETO FC's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.14 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.61/1.3 for Puskas Academy.