11 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy NB I prediction & result

ETO Park
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Gyori ETO FC 0-1 Puskas Academy.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Gyori ETO FC, 26% draw, 24% Puskas Academy — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gyori ETO FC at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gyori ETO FC0%Draw5%Puskas Academy95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
⚽Dániel Lukács
E. Juárez
23'
Miljan·Krpic
29'
29'
Martin Kern
45'
Georgiy Harutyunyan
🔁Élan Ricardoout: Željko Gavrić
45'
🔁Jewison Bennetteout: viktor djukanovic
60'
🔁Marcell huszarout: Balint Selyem
60'
61'
🔁Urho Nissiläout: Michael okeke
71'
🔁Palkó Dárdaiout: Zsolt Krupa
🔁Balint Selyemout: Claudiu Bumba
72'
🔁Peter Agbaout: M. Marong
75'
85'
Zsolt Krupa
86'
🔁András Némethout: Lamin Colley
86'
🔁Dániel Lukácsout: Mikael Soisalo
86'
🔁Martin Kernout: Z. Varga
89'
Roland Orjan

Match stats — Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy

59%Possession41%
12Shots14
2On target5
4Corners6
1.51xG2.02

Goals against chances

Gyori ETO FC0 from 1.51 xGless than the chances were worth
Puskas Academy1 from 2.02 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Gyori ETO FC 5-3-2
  • 99S. PetrášG
  • 19J. BennetteD
  • 37N. UrblíkD
  • 27L. BalogunD
  • 24M. KrpićD
  • 23D. ŠtefuljD
  • 77Élan RicardoM
  • 7P. AgbaM
  • 9L. KulenovićM
  • 14M. SzépF
  • 96M. HuszárF
Substitutes
  • 90K. BánátiM
  • 10C. BumbaM
  • 34V. ĐukanovićF
  • 80Ž. GavrićF
  • 88M. GigerF
  • 20B. BíróD
  • 26Á. UmathumD
  • 30M. MarongF
  • 1Botond HajczingerG
Coach: E. Juárez
Puskas Academy 4-2-3-1
  • 72B. LehoczkiG
  • 96R. OrjánD
  • 14W. GollaD
  • 21G. HarutyunyanD
  • 88B. FarkasD
  • 6L. DuarteM
  • 74M. KernM
  • 10P. DárdaiM
  • 16U. NissiläM
  • 8D. LukacsM
  • 90A. NémethF
Substitutes
  • 18B. VekonyM
  • 66Z. VargaM
  • 22R. SzolnokiD
  • 20M. SoisaloF
  • 24B. PálD
  • 4Michael OkekeM
  • 77K. MondovicsF
  • 1T. MarkekG
  • 80Z. KrupaM
Coach: L. Babó

Form going into Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy

Gyori ETO FC

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to MTK Budapest20 September 2026
  • W3-2Budapest Honved6 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Kisvarda FC30 August 2026
  • W3-0Zalaegerszegi TE23 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Debreceni VSC16 August 2026

Puskas Academy

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1Budapest Honved18 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Zalaegerszegi TE6 September 2026
  • L1-2Ferencvarosi TC30 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Vasas22 August 2026
  • W3-2Paks16 August 2026

What these results say

  • Gyori ETO FC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Gyori ETO FC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Gyori ETO FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Puskas Academy scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Puskas Academy conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Gyori ETO FC136522215+723
1Puskas Academy138051815+324

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Gyori ETO FC vs Puskas Academy

  • 10 April 2026Puskas Academy 1–4 Gyori ETO FCNB I
  • 20 December 2025Gyori ETO FC 2–0 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 20 September 2025Puskas Academy 0–2 Gyori ETO FCNB I
  • 12 April 2025Gyori ETO FC 2–0 Puskas AcademyNB I
  • 7 December 2024Puskas Academy 0–3 Gyori ETO FCNB I

Leading scorers: Gyori ETO FC and Puskas Academy

Gyori ETO FC

GoalsAssists

  • V. Đukanović40
  • L. Kulenović32

Puskas Academy

GoalsAssists

  • A. Németh52
  • P. Dárdai32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Puskas Academy won 1–0 at Gyori ETO FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Gyori ETO FC at 50% and given a win for Puskas Academy 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Dániel Lukács 11' for Puskas Academy. On expected goals it finished 1.51–2.02.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Gyori ETO FC a 37.1% chance to win the league: 42.0% after a win, 33.1% after a draw, 28.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 28.0%, 9.1 points lower than before the match.

For Puskas Academy the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 43.1% going in: 52.9% after a win, 43.6% after a draw, 39.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 52.9%, 9.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our NB I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Gyori ETO FC v Puskas Academy has moved

First published on 27 Sep at 45% / 29% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 50% / 26% / 24%: the biggest move is Gyori ETO FC's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Gyori ETO FC win50%▲ +5
  2. Draw26%▼ −3
  3. Puskas Academy win24%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.