26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Shrewsbury vs Colchester League Two prediction & result

The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Shrewsbury 2-2 Colchester.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Shrewsbury, 31% draw, 39% Colchester — fair odds of 3.33, 3.23 and 2.56.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Colchester at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Shrewsbury3%Draw93%Colchester4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Luca Hoole
10'
19'
⚽Moses Sesay
⚽Luca Hooleassist: Tom Sang
29'
George Lloyd
61'
🔁Josh Davisonout: will gray
67'
73'
🔁Bradley ihionveinout: Oscar thorn
73'
🔁Harry Andersonout: Beryly Lubala
J. Turner-Cook
89'
90'
🔁K. Kouassiout: Kien Connelly
⚽Isaac Fletcher
90+2'
90+5'
⚽Moses Sesayassist: Oscar thorn

Match stats — Shrewsbury vs Colchester

39%Possession61%
18Shots11
6On target4
8Corners4

Line-ups

Shrewsbury 3-4-1-2
  • 1William Michael BrookG
  • 6S. StubbsD
  • 5W. BoyleD
  • 26T. AndersonD
  • 2L. HooleM
  • 10T. SangM
  • 7J. Turner-CookeM
  • 11K. BerkoeM
  • 8Isaac Andrew FletcherM
  • 9G. LloydF
  • 13J. DavisonF
Substitutes
  • 4Isaac EnglandD
  • 27J. GbodeF
  • 21will grayM
  • 24L. SousaD
  • 23I. LeeD
  • 46H. AistonF
  • 32Cameron GregoryG
Coach: G. Cowan
Colchester 4-2-3-1
  • 22T. Lo-TutalaG
  • 2R. HuntD
  • 5J. TuckerD
  • 20S. RaggettD
  • 3E. IandoloD
  • 12M. SesayM
  • 26J. WilliamsM
  • 14K. KouassiM
  • 10J. PayneM
  • 7H. AndersonM
  • 9B. IhionvienF
Substitutes
  • 27O. ThornF
  • 24F. TerryD
  • 15B. LubalaF
  • 44S. KuffourD
  • 6P. DigbyM
  • 31Oscar RobertsG
  • 39K. ConnellyF
Coach: D. Cowley

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Shrewsbury145361722-518
23Colchester132651219-712

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Shrewsbury vs Colchester

  • 7 February 2026Colchester 2–0 ShrewsburyLeague Two
  • 16 August 2025Shrewsbury 0–2 ColchesterLeague Two
  • 4 November 2023Shrewsbury 3–2 ColchesterFA Cup
  • 27 February 2016Colchester 0–0 ShrewsburyLeague One
  • 10 October 2015Shrewsbury 4–2 ColchesterLeague One

Leading scorers: Shrewsbury and Colchester

Shrewsbury

GoalsAssists

  • G. Lloyd51

Colchester

No player in League Two's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Shrewsbury and Colchester drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Colchester at 39% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Moses Sesay 19' for Colchester, Luca Hoole 29' for Shrewsbury, Isaac Fletcher 90+2' for Shrewsbury, Moses Sesay 90+5' for Colchester.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.