26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Wycombe vs Reading League One prediction & result

Adams Park, High Wycombe
Referee: T. Reeves
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Wycombe 2-2 Reading.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Wycombe, 27% draw, 36% Reading — fair odds of 2.70, 3.70 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Wycombe at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Wycombe0%Draw5%Reading95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Dan Casey
30'
🔁Cauley Woodrowout: S. Parker
45'
47'
⚽Paudie O’Connorassist: P. Lane
⚽Jayden Warehamassist: Ewan Henderson
61'
68'
Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
Daniel Harvie
68'
🔁Ewan Hendersonout: Danny Ings
72'
74'
🔁Kyreece Joshua Lisbieout: Randell Williams
75'
🔁Jack Marriottout: Jacob Brown
75'
🔁P. Laneout: Daniel·Kyerewaa
80'
⚽Jacob Brown
🔁Caolan Boyd-Munceout: Aaron Morley
82'
🔁Dan Caseyout: Silko Thomas
82'
84'
🔁Josh Stokesout: Jamie Reid
88'
Haydon Roberts
⚽Danny Ingsassist: Fred Onyedinma
90'
90+5'
Benn Ward

Match stats — Wycombe vs Reading

55%Possession45%
17Shots21
5On target7
5Corners7

Line-ups

Wycombe 3-1-4-2
  • 33J. WildsmithG
  • 26C. TaylorD
  • 27S. CookD
  • 17D. CaseyD
  • 4J. ScowenM
  • 44F. OnyedinmaM
  • 20E. HendersonM
  • 8C. Boyd-MunceM
  • 3D. HarvieM
  • 12C. WoodrowF
  • 15J. WarehamF
Substitutes
  • 2J. GrimmerD
  • 28Danny IngsF
  • 10L. LeahyM
  • 5A. MorleyM
  • 22Sam ParkerD
  • 11Silko Amari Otieno ThomasF
  • 1Mikki Avelon Leander van SasG
Coach: T. Hounsell
Reading 4-2-3-1
  • 1Joel PereiraG
  • 2U. Godwin-MalifeD
  • 15P. O'ConnorD
  • 16Benn David WardD
  • 5H. RobertsD
  • 10L. WingM
  • 6L. FraserM
  • 19Kyreece LisbieM
  • 28J. StokesM
  • 32P. LaneM
  • 7J. MarriottF
Substitutes
  • 14R. WilliamsM
  • 25J. StevensG
  • 9J. ReidF
  • 23C. MastersonD
  • 11D. KyerewaaM
  • 37L. HowardM
  • 18J. BrownF
Coach: L. Richardson

League One table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Wycombe134632123-218
6Reading146442515+1022

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Wycombe vs Reading

  • 18 August 2026Reading 1–1 WycombeEFL Trophy
  • 14 February 2026Reading 3–2 WycombeLeague One
  • 23 August 2025Wycombe 2–2 ReadingLeague One
  • 5 April 2025Reading 1–0 WycombeLeague One
  • 7 December 2024Wycombe 1–1 ReadingLeague One

Leading scorers: Wycombe and Reading

Wycombe

GoalsAssists

  • J. Wareham61
  • F. Onyedinma43

Reading

GoalsAssists

  • J. Marriott80
  • Kyreece Lisbie54

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Wycombe and Reading drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Wycombe at 37% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Paudie O’Connor 47' for Reading, Jayden Wareham 61' for Wycombe, Jacob Brown 80' for Reading, Danny Ings 90' for Wycombe.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.